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Copa del Rey

Referee: Jon González

Ponferradina

U U S T U

1–1

Full-time

Castellon

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 7

6 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ponferradina 66. · Castellon 44. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Pontevedra	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Santander	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+4	4
18	Girona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
19	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+3	4
20	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Estepona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Zamora	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Orihuela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+5	3
28	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Cultural Leonesa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Gimnastic	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Parla Escuela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Cacereño	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Manises	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Ejea	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
60	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
69	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
70	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
71	Ontiñena	2	0	1	1	-7	1
72	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Pontevedra	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Estepona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Cacereño	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Ejea	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
17	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
18	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Zamora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
25	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
26	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
27	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Cultural Leonesa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Parla Escuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Manises	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
69	Ontiñena	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Girona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
14	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
19	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+4	3
22	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.