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Serie A

Referee: J Sacchi

Lecce

T T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Empoli

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,2

0,5

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

18%

27%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

36%

27%

Both score Ø 23%

36%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

0,4

0,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,58 xG 0,58

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 24

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 20. · Empoli 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	11	8	1	2	+10	+7.4	25
2	Inter	11	7	3	1	+12	+7.7	24
3	Atalanta	11	7	1	3	+15	+10.7	22
4	Fiorentina	11	6	4	1	+13	+6.8	22
5	Lazio	11	7	1	3	+10	+10.0	22
6	Juventus	11	5	6	0	+12	+8.1	21
7	Milan	10	5	2	3	+6	+7.6	17
8	Udinese	11	5	1	5	-2	-6.2	16
9	Bologna	10	3	6	1	+1	+0.1	15
10	Torino	11	4	2	5	-1	-4.1	14
11	Empoli	11	3	5	3	-1	-6.3	14
12	Roma	11	3	4	4	-2	-0.7	13
13	Verona	11	4	0	7	-8	-6.3	12
14	Como	12	2	4	6	-10	-1.8	10
15	Genoa	12	2	4	6	-13	-8.7	10
16	Parma	11	1	6	4	-3	-1.6	9
17	Cagliari	11	2	3	6	-10	-4.2	9
18	Monza	11	1	5	5	-4	-5.9	8
19	Venezia	11	2	2	7	-9	-5.6	8
20	Lecce	11	2	2	7	-16	-7.0	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lazio	6	5	1	0	+8	+9.1	16
2	Napoli	6	5	0	1	+6	+6.2	15
3	Inter	6	4	1	1	+7	+4.1	13
4	Atalanta	5	4	0	1	+11	+6.6	12
5	Udinese	6	4	0	2	+2	-2.3	12
6	Fiorentina	5	3	2	0	+6	+5.6	11
7	Milan	5	3	1	1	+6	+4.6	10
8	Juventus	6	2	4	0	+4	+5.0	10
9	Roma	5	3	0	2	+3	+0.9	9
10	Verona	6	3	0	3	-2	-1.3	9
11	Bologna	5	1	4	0	+1	+1.6	7
12	Torino	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.4	7
13	Lecce	5	2	1	2	-8	-1.6	7
14	Venezia	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.9	6
15	Empoli	6	1	3	2	-3	-1.9	6
16	Parma	6	1	2	3	-2	+0.3	5
17	Como	4	1	2	1	-3	-0.3	5
18	Cagliari	6	1	2	3	-7	+0.2	5
19	Genoa	7	0	4	3	-6	-3.3	4
20	Monza	6	0	3	3	-3	-2.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Juventus	5	3	2	0	+8	+3.1	11
2	Fiorentina	6	3	2	1	+7	+1.1	11
3	Inter	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.6	11
4	Atalanta	6	3	1	2	+4	+4.0	10
5	Napoli	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.2	10
6	Empoli	5	2	2	1	+2	-4.3	8
7	Bologna	5	2	2	1	+0	-1.5	8
8	Milan	5	2	1	2	+0	+3.0	7
9	Torino	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.6	7
10	Lazio	5	2	0	3	+2	+1.0	6
11	Genoa	5	2	0	3	-7	-5.5	6
12	Monza	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.3	5
13	Como	8	1	2	5	-7	-1.5	5
14	Parma	5	0	4	1	-1	-1.9	4
15	Cagliari	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.4	4
16	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-4	-3.8	4
17	Roma	6	0	4	2	-5	-1.6	4
18	Verona	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.0	3
19	Venezia	7	0	2	5	-9	-7.5	2
20	Lecce	6	0	1	5	-8	-5.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.