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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Almeria

S T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Elche

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 19%

28%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

59%

53%

Both score Ø 57%

69%

44%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,72 xG 0,98

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 13

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 17. · Elche 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	32	25	4	3	+48	+13.2	79
2	Real Madrid	32	21	5	6	+39	+18.6	68
3	Ath Madrid	32	20	6	6	+30	+13.0	66
4	Sociedad	32	17	7	8	+12	+3.3	58
5	Villarreal	32	16	5	11	+13	+9.9	53
6	Betis	32	14	7	11	+2	+0.8	49
7	Ath Bilbao	32	13	8	11	+11	+3.2	47
8	Girona	32	12	8	12	+5	-3.8	44
9	Osasuna	32	12	8	12	-5	-9.1	44
10	Vallecano	32	11	10	11	-3	-4.6	43
11	Mallorca	32	11	8	13	-4	-3.9	41
12	Sevilla	32	11	8	13	-9	+3.7	41
13	Celta	32	10	9	13	-7	+0.4	39
14	Cadiz	32	8	11	13	-19	-3.2	35
15	Valladolid	32	10	5	17	-26	-12.2	35
16	Valencia	32	9	6	17	-4	-2.7	33
17	Almeria	32	9	6	17	-17	-8.1	33
18	Getafe	32	7	10	15	-13	-6.4	31
19	Espanol	32	7	10	15	-15	-5.3	31
20	Elche	32	3	7	22	-38	-7.0	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	13	3	0	+30	+9.3	42
2	Real Madrid	16	11	4	1	+26	+15.1	37
3	Ath Madrid	16	10	3	3	+18	+10.8	33
4	Villarreal	16	10	2	4	+12	+9.4	32
5	Girona	16	9	3	4	+10	+2.4	30
6	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	+1.2	28
7	Sociedad	15	8	4	3	+6	+4.9	28
8	Vallecano	16	7	5	4	+5	-1.0	26
9	Mallorca	16	7	5	4	+5	+1.8	26
10	Almeria	16	8	2	6	+3	-0.4	26
11	Osasuna	16	8	1	7	-2	-3.5	25
12	Ath Bilbao	16	7	3	6	+8	-0.5	24
13	Valencia	16	7	3	6	+7	+3.5	24
14	Valladolid	16	7	3	6	-3	-0.8	24
15	Celta	16	6	5	5	+5	+3.2	23
16	Sevilla	16	6	4	6	-1	+8.8	22
17	Cadiz	17	5	6	6	-7	-0.8	21
18	Getafe	16	5	5	6	-1	-1.6	20
19	Espanol	16	4	5	7	-6	+2.4	17
20	Elche	16	2	4	10	-12	+2.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	12	1	3	+18	+4.0	37
2	Ath Madrid	16	10	3	3	+12	+2.2	33
3	Real Madrid	16	10	1	5	+13	+3.5	31
4	Sociedad	17	9	3	5	+6	-1.6	30
5	Ath Bilbao	16	6	5	5	+3	+3.7	23
6	Villarreal	16	6	3	7	+1	+0.5	21
7	Betis	16	6	3	7	-5	-0.3	21
8	Osasuna	16	4	7	5	-3	-5.7	19
9	Sevilla	16	5	4	7	-8	-5.2	19
10	Vallecano	16	4	5	7	-8	-3.6	17
11	Celta	16	4	4	8	-12	-2.8	16
12	Mallorca	16	4	3	9	-9	-5.6	15
13	Girona	16	3	5	8	-5	-6.2	14
14	Espanol	16	3	5	8	-9	-7.7	14
15	Cadiz	15	3	5	7	-12	-2.4	14
16	Getafe	16	2	5	9	-12	-4.8	11
17	Valladolid	16	3	2	11	-23	-11.4	11
18	Valencia	16	2	3	11	-11	-6.2	9
19	Almeria	16	1	4	11	-20	-7.8	7
20	Elche	16	1	3	12	-26	-8.9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.