Coupe de France
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dijon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 2 |
Olympique d'Alès
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 |
Laval
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 4 |
Thionville Lusitanos
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Orleans
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 6 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 7 |
Bergerac
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 8 |
Lyon Duchere
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Castanet
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 |
Amiens
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Caen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 12 |
St Etienne
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 13 |
Rodez
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 14 |
Revel
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 15 |
Martigues
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |
Dinan Léhon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 |
Valenciennes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Hauts Lyonnais
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |
Angers
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 20 |
Pontivy GSI
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 21 |
Entente Itancourt-Neu.
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Chateauroux
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |
Sochaux
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 24 |
Louhans-Cuiseaux
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 25 |
Saint-Priest
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 26 |
Les Herbiers
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Epinal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 28 |
Grenoble
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 29 |
Coulaines
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 |
Plessis Robinson 92
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 31 |
Annecy
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 32 |
AG Caennaise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 33 |
Cannes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 34 |
RC Calais
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 35 |
Mulhouse
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 36 |
Libourne
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 37 |
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 38 |
Chambéry
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 39 |
Sarre Union
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 40 |
Pau FC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 41 |
Dunkerque
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 42 |
Angoulême
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 43 |
Union Cosnoise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 44 |
Feignies-Aulnoye
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 45 |
Saint-Meziery
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 46 |
Blagnac
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 47 |
Pontarlier
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 48 |
Stade Briochin
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 49 |
Concarneau
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 50 |
Saint-Malo
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 51 |
Guingamp
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 52 |
Villejuif
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 53 |
Paris FC
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 54 |
Thonon Évian
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 55 |
Aubagne
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 56 |
Stade Plabennec
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 57 |
Challans
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 58 |
Canet Roussillon
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 59 |
Bordeaux
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 60 |
Saint-Omer
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 61 |
Saint-Denis
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 62 |
Limonest
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 63 |
Domerat
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 64 |
Le Pays du Valois
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 65 |
Auxerre
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 66 |
Chaponnay-Marennes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 67 |
Hyères
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 68 |
Croix Football IC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 69 |
Red Star
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 70 |
Jura Sud Foot
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 71 |
Mâcon
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 72 |
Roche Saint-Genest
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 73 |
Avranches
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 74 |
Troyes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 75 |
Villefranche
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 76 |
Cholet
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 77 |
Brissac
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 78 |
Fos
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 79 |
Drapeau Fougères
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 80 |
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 81 |
Longueau
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 82 |
Jura Dolois
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 83 |
France Aizenay
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 84 |
Saumur
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 85 |
Volvic
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 86 |
APM Metz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 87 |
Chauray
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 88 |
Chaumont
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 89 |
Vierzon FC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 90 |
Chantilly
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 91 |
Bondues
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 92 |
Pirae
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 93 |
Bayonne
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 94 |
Colmar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 95 |
Velay
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 96 |
TA Rennes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 97 |
Haguenau
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 98 |
Neuville
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 99 |
Houilles
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 100 |
Plougastel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 101 |
Bastia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 102 |
Poitiers
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 103 |
Hombourg-Haut
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 104 |
Loon-Plage
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 105 |
Bourg-en-bresse 01
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 106 |
Liffré
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 107 |
St-Aubin Guérande
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 108 |
Hienghène Sport
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 109 |
Lavernose Lherm
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 110 |
Montdidier
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 111 |
Montlouis
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 112 |
Rosador
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 113 |
Provin
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 114 |
Doullens
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: F. Amghar
Coach: L. Vaillant
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.