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Coupe de France
Referee: G Danglade

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Quevilly Rouen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Castanet 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Caen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Revel 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Martigues 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Dinan Léhon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Hauts Lyonnais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Saint-Priest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Coulaines 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Plessis Robinson 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 AG Caennaise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Cannes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 RC Calais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Libourne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Chambéry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Sarre Union 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Saint-Meziery 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Blagnac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Pontarlier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Stade Briochin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Challans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Saint-Omer 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Saint-Denis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Domerat 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Auxerre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Chaponnay-Marennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
113 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
114 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.