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Coupe de France
Referee: A Grizon

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Quevilly Rouen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Castanet 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Caen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Revel 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Martigues 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Dinan Léhon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Hauts Lyonnais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Saint-Priest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Coulaines 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Plessis Robinson 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 AG Caennaise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Cannes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 RC Calais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Libourne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Chambéry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Sarre Union 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Saint-Meziery 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Blagnac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Pontarlier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Stade Briochin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Challans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Saint-Omer 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Saint-Denis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Domerat 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Auxerre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Chaponnay-Marennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
113 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
114 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St-Philbert Gd Lieu Le Poiré sur Vie
Half-time 0–0
J. Kenon 🔁
↦ J. Hamel
59′
S. Ngampika 🔁
↦ P. NGuessan
59′
62′
🔁 Y. Pinson
↦ R. El Alami
1–0 S. Ngampika
70′
L. Souply 🔁
↦ F. Guillou
71′
73′
🔁 J. Kreye
↦ C. Tangatchy
73′
🔁 K. Crépeau
↦ S. Touré
2–0 Y. Oumar Hima Souley
77′
80′
🔁 C. Nsingi
↦ J. Cuvier
80′
🔁 M. Paris
↦ T. Bellanger
A. Freuchet 🔁
↦ D. Blanquet
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St-Philbert Gd Lieu

M. Gohier
N. Payot
A. Robin
K. Oullami
J. Hamel
F. Guillou
M. Bochereau
C. Artaillou
Y. Oumar Hima Souley
P. N'Guessan
D. Blanquet
Bench (7)
J. Kenon
S. Ngampika
L. Souply
A. Freuchet
J. Habert
L. Kassem
T. Kamano

Coach: B. Casanova

Le Poiré sur Vie

I. Sy
S. Touré
L. Berlin
M. Ble
E. Bathily
T. Bellanger
M. Lourdin
T. Boucard
J. Cuvier
C. Tangatchy
R. El Alami
Bench (7)
Y. Pinson
J. Kreye
K. Crépeau
C. Nsingi
M. Paris
F. Faham
S. Maville

Coach: R. Zeroual

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.