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LaLiga2
Referee: Raúl González
Oviedo
U S S U U
2–1
Full-time
Eibar
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
27%
53%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
13%
67%
Both score Ø 47%
27%
67%
Average goals
1,3
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 14. · Eibar 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 16 11 2 3 +19 35
2 Sp Gijon 16 8 5 3 +10 29
3 Valladolid 16 9 2 5 +3 29
4 Espanol 16 8 4 4 +10 28
5 Eibar 15 8 3 4 +8 27
6 Ferrol 16 7 6 3 +3 27
7 Levante 15 6 6 3 +3 24
8 Tenerife 16 7 2 7 -1 23
9 Elche 16 6 5 5 -3 23
10 Eldense 15 6 4 5 +0 22
11 Zaragoza 16 6 4 6 +0 22
12 Santander 15 6 3 6 +1 21
13 Burgos 16 6 3 7 -2 21
14 Oviedo 15 4 7 4 +4 19
15 Mirandes 15 5 3 7 -2 18
16 Albacete 15 4 5 6 -6 17
17 Huesca 16 3 7 6 -3 16
18 Villarreal B 15 4 4 7 -5 16
19 Andorra 15 5 1 9 -7 16
20 Amorebieta 16 3 5 8 -8 14
21 Alcorcon 16 3 5 8 -11 14
22 Cartagena 15 1 4 10 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Eibar
4′
🟨 José Corpas
42′
Jon Bautista 0–1
Stoichkov
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Borja Bastón
49′
Luismi 🟨
52′
67′
🔁 Y. Rahmani
↦ Mario Soriano
Sebas Moyano 🔁
↦ Paulino de la Fuente
75′
76′
🔁 Unai Vencedor
↦ Ager Aketxe
76′
🔁 K. de La Fuente
↦ Stoichkov
David Costas 🟨
80′
Masca 🔁
↦ Lucas Ahijado
82′
Alemão 🔁
↦ Borja Bastón
82′
86′
🔁 Ríos Reina
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
86′
🔁 Frederico Venâncio
↦ José Corpas
Dani Calvo 🟨
87′
David Costas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
88′
Alemão 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Juan Berrocal
2–1 S. Colombatto
89′
Jimmy 🔁
↦ S. Colombatto
90′
Mario Sesè 🔁
↦ Viti Rozada
91′
96′
🟨 Matheus Pereira
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
31 Leo Román G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
18 Paulino de la Fuente M
5 Luismi M
11 S. Colombatto M
7 Viti Rozada M
16 Jaime Seoane F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (11)
17 Sebas Moyano
20 Masca
14 Alemão
28 Mario Sesè
6 Jimmy
36 Diego Menéndez
1 Q. Braat
34 Yayo
32 Álex Cardero
35 Jaime Vázquez
21 Carlos Pomares

Coach: Luis Carrión

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
17 José Corpas D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
2 Cristian Gutiérrez D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
10 Ager Aketxe M
30 Mario Soriano M
19 Stoichkov M
18 Jon Bautista F
Bench (12)
11 Y. Rahmani
14 Unai Vencedor
27 K. de La Fuente
21 Ríos Reina
3 Frederico Venâncio
28 Iker Alday
12 J. Yriarte
9 Y. Qasmi
22 S. Simič
13 Yoel Rodríguez
31 Ángel Troncho
7 Quique González

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,08
U
2,91
B
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,67
U2,5
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Raúl González · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.