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Serie B

Referee: M Gariglio

Parma

S T S T U

0–1

Full-time

Benevento

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Benevento

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

47%

33%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 0

2 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Parma 5. · Benevento 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	15	10	2	3	+12	32
2	Reggina	15	9	2	4	+15	29
3	Ternana	16	7	4	5	+2	25
4	Bari	15	5	8	2	+6	23
5	Parma	15	6	5	4	+5	23
6	Genoa	15	6	5	4	+3	23
7	Brescia	15	6	5	4	-1	23
8	Sudtirol	15	5	7	3	-1	22
9	Ascoli	15	5	6	4	+2	21
10	Modena	15	6	2	7	+1	20
11	Pisa	15	4	7	4	+4	19
12	Cagliari	16	4	7	5	-2	19
13	Cittadella	15	4	7	4	-3	19
14	Palermo	15	5	3	7	-4	18
15	Cosenza	15	4	4	7	-9	16
16	Spal	15	3	6	6	-2	15
17	Benevento	15	3	6	6	-3	15
18	Venezia	15	4	3	8	-6	15
19	Como	15	3	6	6	-9	15
20	Perugia	15	3	3	9	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Reggina	7	5	1	1	+13	16
3	Parma	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Ternana	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Brescia	8	4	3	1	+4	15
6	Como	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	Cagliari	8	3	3	2	-1	12
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Sudtirol	8	2	5	1	+1	11
10	Palermo	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Modena	7	3	1	3	+3	10
12	Spal	8	3	1	4	+2	10
13	Cosenza	7	3	1	3	+1	10
14	Cittadella	7	2	4	1	+0	10
15	Ascoli	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Bari	7	1	5	1	+2	8
17	Genoa	7	1	5	1	+0	8
18	Perugia	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Benevento	8	1	3	4	-4	6
20	Venezia	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Genoa	8	5	0	3	+3	15
3	Frosinone	8	4	1	3	+2	13
4	Reggina	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Ascoli	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Venezia	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Sudtirol	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Modena	8	3	1	4	-2	10
9	Ternana	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	Benevento	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Cittadella	8	2	3	3	-3	9
12	Pisa	8	1	5	2	+0	8
13	Brescia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
14	Parma	7	1	4	2	+0	7
15	Cagliari	8	1	4	3	-1	7
16	Palermo	7	2	1	4	-5	7
17	Cosenza	8	1	3	4	-10	6
18	Spal	7	0	5	2	-4	5
19	Perugia	8	1	2	5	-5	5
20	Como	7	0	3	4	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.