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LaLiga2
Referee: Víctor García
Lugo
U T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Levante
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
19%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
44%
31%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

31% Possession 69%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 11
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 20. · Levante 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 17 9 7 1 +8 34
2 Las Palmas 17 8 7 2 +11 31
3 Burgos 17 8 7 2 +9 31
4 Levante 16 7 6 3 +6 27
5 Eibar 16 7 6 3 +5 27
6 Granada 17 7 4 6 +7 25
7 Cartagena 16 7 4 5 +4 25
8 Albacete 17 6 7 4 -1 25
9 Andorra 16 7 3 6 +6 24
10 Huesca 17 6 6 5 +2 24
11 Leganes 17 7 3 7 +1 24
12 Sp Gijon 17 5 8 4 +1 23
13 Villarreal B 17 6 5 6 -2 23
14 Tenerife 17 5 5 7 -2 20
15 Oviedo 17 5 5 7 -3 20
16 Zaragoza 17 4 6 7 -4 18
17 Santander 17 4 6 7 -4 18
18 Ponferradina 17 4 5 8 -8 17
19 Mirandes 17 3 7 7 -6 16
20 Lugo 16 3 5 8 -8 14
21 Malaga 17 3 5 9 -9 14
22 Ibiza 16 3 3 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugo Levante
1–0 Sebas Moyano
J. Cuéllar
12′
Chris Ramos 🟨
20′
32′
ℹ️ Vicente Iborra
VAR: Penalty confirmed
34′
Campaña 1–1
Jaume Cuéllar 🟨
36′
43′
🟨 Roberto Soldado
43′
🔁 M. Bouldini
↦ Soldado
Half-time 1–1
Marc Carbó 🔁
↦ M. El Hacen
65′
68′
🔁 Cantero
↦ Joni Montiel
68′
🔁 Pablo Martínez
↦ Pepelu
Manu Barreiro 🔁
↦ J. Cuéllar
73′
81′
🟨 Álejandro Cantero
84′
🔁 Brugui
↦ Campaña
89′
🟨 Róber Pier
Pablo Clavería 🟨
93′
95′
ℹ️ Vicente Iborra
VAR: Goal cancelled
Ángel Baena 🔁
↦ Chris Ramos
99′
O. Lebedenko 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
99′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lugo

4-3-3
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
14 Xavi Torres D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
12 Zé Ricardo D
6 Juanpe M
4 Clavería M
18 M. El Hacen M
29 J. Cuéllar F
16 Chris Ramos F
7 Sebas Moyano F
Bench (9)
22 Marc Carbó
9 Manu Barreiro
11 Ángel Baena
19 O. Lebedenko
17 N. Lozano
23 Jordi Calavera
26 Julen Fernández
20 Bruno Pirri
32 I. Thiam

Coach: Fran Justo

Levante

4-2-3-1
1 Dani Cárdenas G
2 Son D
4 Róber Pier D
14 Rúben Vezo D
16 Álex Muñoz D
10 Iborra M
8 Pepelu M
18 Jorge de Frutos M
20 Joni Montiel M
24 Campaña M
9 Soldado F
Bench (9)
22 M. Bouldini
11 Cantero
6 Pablo Martínez
17 Brugui
29 Marc Pubill
3 Enric Franquesa
23 M. Saracchi
7 Wesley Moraes
13 Joan Femenías

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,44
U ✓
3,09
B
2,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Víctor García · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.