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Championship

Referee: G Ward

Millwall

S T U S U

3–0

Full-time

Rotherham

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Rotherham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

This season — Championship · 24/25 matches

Win Ø 33%

42%

24%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

38%

48%

Both score Ø 43%

38%

48%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

26 Shots 5

12 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 9

10 Corners 1

4 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Millwall 8. · Rotherham 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	25	15	8	2	+26	53
2	Sheffield United	25	15	5	5	+21	50
3	Blackburn	26	14	0	12	+0	42
4	Watford	25	10	7	8	+2	37
5	Sunderland	24	10	6	8	+9	36
6	Middlesbrough	24	10	6	8	+7	36
7	Norwich	25	10	6	9	+4	36
8	Millwall	24	10	6	8	+3	36
9	Reading	25	11	3	11	-6	36
10	West Brom	25	9	8	8	+7	35
11	Luton	23	9	8	6	+4	35
12	Swansea	25	9	8	8	+1	35
13	QPR	25	10	5	10	-3	35
14	Preston	25	9	7	9	-3	34
15	Birmingham	25	8	8	9	+0	32
16	Coventry	23	8	7	8	+0	31
17	Stoke	25	8	6	11	-5	30
18	Hull	25	8	6	11	-13	30
19	Bristol City	25	7	7	11	-3	28
20	Cardiff	26	7	7	12	-9	28
21	Rotherham	25	6	9	10	-8	27
22	Huddersfield	24	7	4	13	-7	25
23	Blackpool	25	6	7	12	-10	25
24	Wigan	25	6	6	13	-17	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	13	9	4	0	+18	31
2	Blackburn	13	9	0	4	+7	27
3	Reading	12	8	1	3	+6	25
4	Sheffield United	12	7	3	2	+14	24
5	Millwall	12	7	3	2	+9	24
6	Swansea	12	6	2	4	+5	20
7	Watford	12	6	2	4	+5	20
8	Middlesbrough	12	5	5	2	+5	20
9	West Brom	13	5	4	4	+5	19
10	Norwich	13	5	4	4	+4	19
11	Coventry	11	5	3	3	+4	18
12	Birmingham	13	4	5	4	+3	17
13	Huddersfield	13	5	2	6	+0	17
14	QPR	12	5	2	5	-1	17
15	Rotherham	12	4	4	4	+3	16
16	Sunderland	12	4	4	4	+3	16
17	Cardiff	13	4	4	5	-1	16
18	Luton	11	3	6	2	+3	15
19	Bristol City	13	4	3	6	+0	15
20	Hull	13	4	2	7	-9	14
21	Preston	13	3	4	6	-6	13
22	Stoke	12	3	3	6	-4	12
23	Blackpool	12	3	2	7	-5	11
24	Wigan	13	2	3	8	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	13	8	2	3	+7	26
2	Burnley	12	6	4	2	+8	22
3	Preston	12	6	3	3	+3	21
4	Sunderland	12	6	2	4	+6	20
5	Luton	12	6	2	4	+1	20
6	Stoke	13	5	3	5	-1	18
7	QPR	13	5	3	5	-2	18
8	Norwich	12	5	2	5	+0	17
9	Watford	13	4	5	4	-3	17
10	Middlesbrough	12	5	1	6	+2	16
11	West Brom	12	4	4	4	+2	16
12	Hull	12	4	4	4	-4	16
13	Wigan	12	4	3	5	-3	15
14	Birmingham	12	4	3	5	-3	15
15	Swansea	13	3	6	4	-4	15
16	Blackburn	13	5	0	8	-7	15
17	Blackpool	13	3	5	5	-5	14
18	Bristol City	12	3	4	5	-3	13
19	Coventry	12	3	4	5	-4	13
20	Millwall	12	3	3	6	-6	12
21	Cardiff	13	3	3	7	-8	12
22	Rotherham	13	2	5	6	-11	11
23	Reading	13	3	2	8	-12	11
24	Huddersfield	11	2	2	7	-7	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.