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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

Burnley

T T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Leeds

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

0,5

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,0

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

5,0

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

2,0

3,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

12 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burnley 18. · Leeds 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Ham	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Everton	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Man City	3	2	0	1	+9	6
6	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Leicester	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Brentford	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Man United	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Aston Villa	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Watford	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Crystal Palace	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Newcastle	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Norwich	3	0	0	3	-9	0
20	Arsenal	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	West Ham	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Aston Villa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Brighton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leicester	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Brentford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Man United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Man City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Watford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-5	0
20	Arsenal	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.