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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Arsenal
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
0,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,90 xG 0,50
61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Arsenal Olympiakos
1–0 G. Martinelli ⚽
V. Gyokeres
12′
Half-time 1–0
Gabriel Magalhães 🟨
58′
J. Timber 🔁
↦ B. White
58′
D. Rice 🔁
↦ M. Merino
59′
Martín Zubimendi 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 M. Taremi
↦ G. Martins
B. Saka 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
73′
E. Eze 🔁
↦ G. Martinelli
73′
C. Mosquera 🔁
↦ Gabriel
75′
75′
🔁 L. Scipioni
↦ D. Garcia
Declan Rice 🟨
78′
85′
🔁 G. Biancone
↦ P. Retsos
85′
🔁 C. Mouzakitis
↦ S. Hezze
86′
🔁 G. Strefezza
↦ Chiquinho
90′
🟨 Gabriel Strefezza
2–0 B. Saka ⚽
M. Odegaard
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 D. Raya G
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
8 M. Odegaard M
36 M. Zubimendi M
23 M. Merino M
11 G. Martinelli F
14 V. Gyökeres F
19 L. Trossard F
Bench (11)
13 K. Arrizabalaga
35 T. Setford
3 C. Mosquera
7 B. Saka
10 E. Eze
12 J. Timber
16 C. Norgaard
22 E. Nwaneri
33 R. Calafiori
41 D. Rice
56 M. Dowman

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
14 D. Garcia M
10 G. Martins M
22 Chiquinho M
56 D. Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (11)
1 A. Paschalakis
61 G. Kouraklis
4 G. Biancone
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
8 D. Nascimento
16 L. Scipioni
27 G. Strefezza
70 B. Onyemaechi
80 S. Pnevmonidis
96 C. Mouzakitis
99 M. Taremi

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.