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Ligue 2
Referee: G Kubler
Clermont
T T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Caen
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
33%
46%
Both score Ø 44%
46%
42%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 16. · Caen 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 24 15 4 5 +18 49
2 Paris FC 24 14 4 6 +15 46
3 Dunkerque 24 14 3 7 +11 45
4 Metz 24 12 8 4 +20 44
5 Guingamp 24 12 3 9 +10 39
6 Annecy 24 11 6 7 +1 39
7 Laval 24 10 7 7 +8 37
8 Grenoble 24 10 5 9 +2 35
9 Bastia 24 7 13 4 +7 34
10 Pau FC 24 7 9 8 -6 30
11 Ajaccio 24 9 3 12 -8 30
12 Amiens 24 9 3 12 -11 30
13 Rodez 24 7 6 11 +0 27
14 Troyes 24 8 3 13 -2 27
15 Red Star 24 7 5 12 -16 26
16 Clermont 24 6 7 11 -10 25
17 Martigues 24 6 3 15 -23 21
18 Caen 24 4 4 16 -16 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Caen
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Didí Gaucho
62′
Alexandre Mendy
penalty missed
M. Inchaud 🔁
↦ F. Diédhiou
68′
Maïdine Douane 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Valentin Henry
74′
🔁 G. Kyeremeh
↦ M. Le Bihan
A. Ackra 🔁
↦ H. Saivet
84′
84′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ B. Brahimi
86′
K. Coulibaly 0–1
G. Kyeremeh
M. Baaloudj 🔁
↦ Y. Armougom
88′
88′
🔁 Q. Lecoeuche
↦ A. Ba Loua
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Clermont

5-4-1
30 T. Guivarch G
31 B. Diallo D
23 Y. Koré D
21 Y. Salmier D
20 J. Isala D
22 Y. Armougom D
11 M. Douane M
6 H. Keïta M
10 H. Saivet M
26 M. Bassouamina M
18 F. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
27 M. Inchaud
44 A. Ackra
77 M. Baaloudj
4 E. Kabeya
37 T. Diagouraga
1 M. N'Diaye
29 I. Fakili

Coach: L. Batlles

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
77 D. Debohi
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda D
27 J. Gaudin D
20 N. Lebreton M
14 L. Rajot M
10 B. Brahimi M
8 M. Le Bihan M
88 A. Ba Loua M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
17 G. Kyeremeh
18 K. Coulibaly
28 Q. Lecoeuche
91 E. Ntim
37 L. Milliner
25 L. Sy
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U
3,22
B ✓
3,18
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Kubler · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.