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Serie B

Referee: M Serra

Cagliari

U U U U T

3–2

Full-time

Perugia

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,0

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 22%

25%

19%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

38%

31%

Both score Ø 51%

63%

38%

Average goals

2,3

1,9

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%

21 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 12. · Perugia 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	16	11	2	3	+15	35
2	Reggina	16	9	2	5	+12	29
3	Bari	16	6	8	2	+9	26
4	Genoa	16	7	5	4	+5	26
5	Ternana	16	7	4	5	+2	25
6	Brescia	16	6	6	4	-1	24
7	Parma	16	6	5	5	+4	23
8	Pisa	16	5	7	4	+6	22
9	Sudtirol	16	5	7	4	-3	22
10	Modena	16	6	3	7	+1	21
11	Ascoli	16	5	6	5	+0	21
12	Cagliari	16	4	7	5	-2	19
13	Palermo	16	5	4	7	-4	19
14	Cittadella	16	4	7	5	-6	19
15	Benevento	16	4	6	6	-2	18
16	Cosenza	16	4	5	7	-9	17
17	Spal	16	3	7	6	-2	16
18	Venezia	16	4	4	8	-6	16
19	Como	16	3	7	6	-9	16
20	Perugia	16	3	4	9	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Reggina	8	5	1	2	+10	16
3	Parma	9	5	1	3	+4	16
4	Ternana	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Brescia	8	4	3	1	+4	15
6	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Como	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Cagliari	8	3	3	2	-1	12
10	Modena	8	3	2	3	+3	11
11	Genoa	8	2	5	1	+2	11
12	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Sudtirol	8	2	5	1	+1	11
14	Spal	8	3	1	4	+2	10
15	Cittadella	8	2	4	2	-3	10
16	Ascoli	8	2	3	3	-2	9
17	Bari	7	1	5	1	+2	8
18	Perugia	8	2	2	4	-5	8
19	Benevento	8	1	3	4	-4	6
20	Venezia	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	9	5	3	1	+7	18
2	Frosinone	9	5	1	3	+5	16
3	Genoa	8	5	0	3	+3	15
4	Reggina	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Venezia	8	3	3	2	+2	12
6	Ascoli	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Benevento	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Sudtirol	8	3	2	3	-4	11
9	Modena	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Ternana	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	Cittadella	8	2	3	3	-3	9
12	Brescia	8	2	3	3	-5	9
13	Pisa	8	1	5	2	+0	8
14	Parma	7	1	4	2	+0	7
15	Cagliari	8	1	4	3	-1	7
16	Palermo	7	2	1	4	-5	7
17	Spal	8	0	6	2	-4	6
18	Cosenza	8	1	3	4	-10	6
19	Perugia	8	1	2	5	-5	5
20	Como	8	0	4	4	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.