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Serie B

Referee: F Maresca

Palermo

T T S U U

2–1

Full-time

Cagliari

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

29%

41%

Both score Ø 47%

29%

65%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 15. · Cagliari 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	17	11	3	3	+15	36
2	Reggina	18	10	3	5	+13	33
3	Bari	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	Genoa	17	7	6	4	+5	27
5	Pisa	18	6	8	4	+9	26
6	Parma	18	7	5	6	+5	26
7	Sudtirol	18	6	8	4	-1	26
8	Ternana	18	7	5	6	-1	26
9	Ascoli	18	6	7	5	+2	25
10	Brescia	18	6	6	6	-6	24
11	Cagliari	17	5	7	5	-1	22
12	Benevento	18	5	7	6	-1	22
13	Modena	18	6	4	8	-2	22
14	Spal	18	4	8	6	-1	20
15	Palermo	17	5	5	7	-4	20
16	Venezia	17	5	4	8	-4	19
17	Como	18	4	7	7	-7	19
18	Cittadella	18	4	7	7	-9	19
19	Cosenza	18	4	5	9	-13	17
20	Perugia	17	3	4	10	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Reggina	9	5	2	2	+10	17
3	Pisa	9	5	2	2	+9	17
4	Parma	10	5	1	4	+3	16
5	Brescia	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Ternana	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Cagliari	9	4	3	2	+0	15
8	Modena	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Sudtirol	9	2	6	1	+1	12
10	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Como	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Bari	8	2	5	1	+5	11
13	Spal	9	3	2	4	+2	11
14	Genoa	8	2	5	1	+2	11
15	Cosenza	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Ascoli	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Cittadella	9	2	4	3	-5	10
18	Benevento	9	2	3	4	-3	9
19	Perugia	8	2	2	4	-5	8
20	Venezia	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Frosinone	9	5	1	3	+5	16
3	Reggina	9	5	1	3	+3	16
4	Genoa	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Ascoli	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	Sudtirol	9	4	2	3	-2	14
7	Benevento	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Venezia	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	Ternana	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Parma	8	2	4	2	+2	10
11	Modena	9	3	1	5	-5	10
12	Pisa	9	1	6	2	+0	9
13	Spal	9	1	6	2	-3	9
14	Cittadella	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Brescia	9	2	3	4	-8	9
16	Palermo	8	2	2	4	-5	8
17	Cagliari	8	1	4	3	-1	7
18	Como	9	1	4	4	-6	7
19	Cosenza	9	1	3	5	-12	6
20	Perugia	9	1	2	6	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.