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Serie B
Monza
U S U T S
5–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Virtus Entella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,8
This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
36%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
27%
36%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

24 Shots 4
12 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 3
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monza 9. · Virtus Entella 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salernitana 11 7 2 2 +7 23
2 Frosinone 12 7 2 3 +3 23
3 Empoli 11 6 4 1 +10 22
4 Spal 11 6 3 2 +8 21
5 Venezia 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Lecce 11 5 5 1 +12 20
7 Cittadella 10 5 2 3 +8 17
8 Chievo 10 5 2 3 +5 17
9 Monza 11 4 5 2 +2 17
10 Reggiana 11 4 2 5 -5 14
11 Brescia 11 3 4 4 +0 13
12 Pordenone 11 2 7 2 +0 13
13 Pisa 11 3 4 4 -9 13
14 Vicenza 10 2 6 2 +0 12
15 Reggina 12 2 4 6 -7 10
16 Cosenza 11 1 6 4 -3 9
17 Cremonese 11 1 6 4 -4 9
18 Pescara 11 2 1 8 -12 7
19 Ascoli 11 1 3 7 -8 6
20 Virtus Entella 11 0 5 6 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
3,86
B
6,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.