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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Tagliavento

Crotone

S T T T U

4–1

Full-time

Empoli

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 17%

10%

24%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

55%

33%

Both score Ø 37%

60%

14%

Average goals

2,6

1,8

Scored

0,8

0,6

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 18. · Empoli 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	20	16	0	4	+26	48
2	Roma	21	15	2	4	+24	47
3	Napoli	21	13	5	3	+23	44
4	Inter	22	13	3	6	+14	42
5	Lazio	22	12	4	6	+10	40
6	Atalanta	22	12	3	7	+9	39
7	Milan	20	11	4	5	+7	37
8	Fiorentina	20	9	6	5	+8	33
9	Torino	22	8	7	7	+7	31
10	Chievo	22	8	4	10	-8	28
11	Bologna	20	7	5	8	-5	26
12	Cagliari	21	8	2	11	-14	26
13	Udinese	21	7	4	10	-3	25
14	Sassuolo	21	7	3	11	-4	24
15	Genoa	21	6	6	9	-5	24
16	Sampdoria	21	6	6	9	-5	24
17	Empoli	21	5	6	10	-14	21
18	Crotone	20	2	4	14	-20	10
19	Palermo	21	2	4	15	-24	10
20	Pescara	21	1	6	14	-26	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	11	0	0	+23	33
2	Roma	10	10	0	0	+21	30
3	Inter	11	8	2	1	+16	26
4	Napoli	11	8	2	1	+14	26
5	Lazio	12	8	1	3	+11	25
6	Milan	11	7	2	2	+6	23
7	Torino	11	6	4	1	+11	22
8	Cagliari	10	7	1	2	+4	22
9	Atalanta	10	7	0	3	+5	21
10	Fiorentina	10	5	5	0	+5	20
11	Sampdoria	10	5	3	2	+4	18
12	Genoa	11	4	5	2	+6	17
13	Bologna	10	5	2	3	+4	17
14	Sassuolo	10	5	1	4	+1	16
15	Chievo	11	4	3	4	-4	15
16	Udinese	11	4	2	5	+0	14
17	Empoli	11	4	2	5	-8	14
18	Crotone	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Pescara	10	0	4	6	-13	4
20	Palermo	10	0	1	9	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	10	5	3	2	+9	18
2	Atalanta	12	5	3	4	+4	18
3	Roma	11	5	2	4	+3	17
4	Inter	11	5	1	5	-2	16
5	Juventus	9	5	0	4	+3	15
6	Lazio	10	4	3	3	-1	15
7	Milan	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	Fiorentina	10	4	1	5	+3	13
9	Chievo	11	4	1	6	-4	13
10	Udinese	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Torino	11	2	3	6	-4	9
12	Palermo	11	2	3	6	-9	9
13	Bologna	10	2	3	5	-9	9
14	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-5	8
15	Empoli	10	1	4	5	-6	7
16	Genoa	10	2	1	7	-11	7
17	Sampdoria	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Pescara	11	1	2	8	-13	5
19	Cagliari	11	1	1	9	-18	4
20	Crotone	11	0	2	9	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.