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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Le Mans
S S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Guingamp
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 41%
43%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
35%
70%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Mans 4. · Guingamp 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 24 13 6 5 +13 45
2 St Etienne 24 13 4 7 +12 43
3 Reims 24 11 8 5 +14 41
4 Le Mans 23 10 9 4 +6 39
5 Dunkerque 24 10 8 6 +15 38
6 Red Star 23 10 7 6 +5 37
7 Annecy 24 10 6 8 +7 36
8 Rodez 24 9 9 6 +0 36
9 Montpellier 24 10 4 10 +3 34
10 Pau FC 24 9 7 8 -2 34
11 Guingamp 23 9 6 8 -1 33
12 Grenoble 24 6 10 8 -5 28
13 Boulogne 24 7 5 12 -11 26
14 Nancy 24 7 5 12 -11 26
15 Clermont 24 6 7 11 -5 25
16 Amiens 24 6 5 13 -11 23
17 Bastia 23 3 9 11 -13 18
18 Laval 24 3 9 12 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Mans Guingamp
1–0 D. Gueye
A. Rabillard
29′
Half-time 1–0
L. Bretelle 🔁
↦ M. Robin
46′
52′
K. Sidibe 1–1
L. Mafouta
Nicolas Kocik 🟨
53′
53′
🟨 Kalidou Sidibé
W. Harhouz 🔁
↦ A. Rabillard
59′
E. Colas 🔁
↦ D. Gueye
59′
59′
🔁 J. Hatchi
↦ F. Mbemba
66′
🔁 S. Kielt
↦ Y. Demoncy
M. Rossignol 🔁
↦ A. Bourabaa
72′
Samuel Yohou 🟨
84′
Martin Rossignol 🟨
86′
95′
🔁 A. Demouchy
↦ D. Gomis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Le Mans

5-3-2
98 N. Kocik G
12 A. Ribelin D
31 N. Boisse D
17 S. Yohou D
3 I. Cossier D
22 L. Calodat D
11 A. Bourabaa M
8 A. Lauray M
24 M. Robin M
25 D. Gueye F
9 A. Rabillard F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
20 W. Harhouz
5 H. Voyer
28 E. Colas
26 M. Hamdi
27 M. Rossignol
29 L. Bretelle

Coach: Patrick Videira

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
29 A. Abdallah D
11 A. Sagna M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibe M
17 F. Mbemba M
21 Y. Demoncy F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
2 E. Koffi
36 A. Demouchy
39 T. Ahile
20 J. Hatchi
27 S. Kielt
34 Y. Njoya

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U ✓
3,15
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.