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Ligue 2
Referee: F Batta
Nancy
U S T U U
0–3
Full-time
Montpellier
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nancy Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
28%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
48%
24%
Both score Ø 42%
44%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nancy 15. · Montpellier 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 25 14 6 5 +15 48
2 St Etienne 25 14 4 7 +15 46
3 Reims 25 11 9 5 +14 42
4 Le Mans 25 10 11 4 +6 41
5 Annecy 25 11 6 8 +9 39
6 Dunkerque 25 10 8 7 +14 38
7 Red Star 24 10 8 6 +5 38
8 Rodez 25 9 10 6 +0 37
9 Montpellier 25 10 5 10 +3 35
10 Guingamp 25 9 8 8 -1 35
11 Pau FC 25 9 7 9 -5 34
12 Grenoble 25 6 11 8 -5 29
13 Clermont 25 7 7 11 -4 28
14 Boulogne 25 7 6 12 -11 27
15 Nancy 25 7 6 12 -11 27
16 Amiens 25 6 5 14 -13 23
17 Laval 25 3 10 12 -16 19
18 Bastia 24 3 9 12 -15 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nancy Montpellier
9′
N. Mbuku 0–1
N. El Hannach
18′
🟨 Everson Junior
Yannis Nahounou 🟨
25′
Elydjah Mendy 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Christopher Jullien
Z. Fdaouch 🔁
↦ A. Dabasse
46′
J. Evans 🔁
↦ Y. Nahounou
46′
N. Fernandez 🔁
↦ E. Mendy
55′
Nicolas Saint-Ruf 🟥
62′
69′
🟥 Everson Junior
74′
🔁 E. Molebe
↦ Y. Issoufou
76′
E. Molebe 0–2
T. Bouriaud 🔁
↦ J. Gelin
79′
79′
🔁 A. Gueguin
↦ N. Pays
79′
🔁 E. Tchato
↦ N. El Hannach
81′
A. Mendy 0–3
A. Gueguin
B. Bokangu 🔁
↦ H. Barbier
83′
86′
🔁 K. Fayad
↦ A. Mendy
87′
🔁 N. Homssa
↦ N. Mbuku
89′
🟨 Nabil Homssa
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Nancy

5-3-2
1 E. Basilio G
44 E. Tacafred D
77 Y. Nahounou D
14 N. Saint-Ruf D
21 E. Mendy D
3 J. Bourgault D
25 J. Gelin M
18 H. Barbier M
8 W. Bouabdelli M
10 A. Dabasse F
24 V. Orakpo F
Bench (7)
30 G. Lembet
6 T. Bouriaud
27 F. Maouassa
7 Z. Fdaouch
22 J. Evans
20 B. Bokangu
4 N. Fernandez

Coach: Pablo Correa

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
3 N. El Hannach D
23 Y. Mouanga D
6 C. Jullien D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
44 T. Chennahi M
77 E. Junior Pereira da Silva M
18 N. Pays M
7 N. Mbuku M
8 Y. Issoufou M
19 A. Mendy F
Bench (7)
1 M. Michel
22 A. Gueguin
29 E. Tchato
10 K. Fayad
14 E. Molebe
21 L. Mincarelli
20 N. Homssa

Coach: Zoumana Camara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,73
U
3,16
B ✓
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.