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Ligue 2

Referee: A Perreau Niel

Montpellier

T S T U S

1–3

Full-time

Dunkerque

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 41%

41%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

18%

59%

Both score Ø 50%

41%

59%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 9. · Dunkerque 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	18	11	5	2	+15	38
2	Reims	18	9	5	4	+13	32
3	St Etienne	18	9	4	5	+10	31
4	Le Mans	18	8	7	3	+5	31
5	Red Star	17	8	5	4	+5	29
6	Dunkerque	17	7	6	4	+10	27
7	Pau FC	18	7	6	5	-2	27
8	Guingamp	18	7	5	6	-2	26
9	Montpellier	17	7	4	6	+2	25
10	Annecy	18	6	4	8	+2	22
11	Clermont	18	5	7	6	-2	22
12	Rodez	18	5	7	6	-5	22
13	Grenoble	18	5	6	7	-3	21
14	Nancy	18	6	3	9	-6	21
15	Amiens	18	5	3	10	-6	18
16	Boulogne	18	4	4	10	-11	16
17	Laval	18	3	6	9	-12	15
18	Bastia	17	2	5	10	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	10	8	1	1	+13	25
2	Reims	9	6	1	2	+9	19
3	Le Mans	10	5	3	2	+3	18
4	Dunkerque	9	4	3	2	+7	15
5	Guingamp	10	4	3	3	-1	15
6	St Etienne	8	4	2	2	+10	14
7	Montpellier	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Grenoble	9	3	5	1	+1	14
9	Pau FC	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Clermont	9	3	4	2	+3	13
11	Rodez	9	3	4	2	+1	13
12	Red Star	8	3	3	2	-1	12
13	Annecy	8	2	4	2	+3	10
14	Nancy	8	3	1	4	-1	10
15	Bastia	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Boulogne	9	2	1	6	-8	7
17	Amiens	9	1	2	6	-5	5
18	Laval	8	0	3	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	9	5	2	2	+6	17
2	St Etienne	10	5	2	3	+0	17
3	Reims	9	3	4	2	+4	13
4	Le Mans	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Troyes	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	Amiens	9	4	1	4	-1	13
7	Pau FC	8	3	4	1	-1	13
8	Dunkerque	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Annecy	10	4	0	6	-1	12
10	Laval	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Guingamp	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Montpellier	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Nancy	10	3	2	5	-5	11
14	Boulogne	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Clermont	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	Rodez	9	2	3	4	-6	9
17	Grenoble	9	2	1	6	-4	7
18	Bastia	9	0	3	6	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.