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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Bastia

U S S T S

0–2

Full-time

Montpellier

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 27%

17%

37%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

22%

21%

Both score Ø 35%

28%

42%

Average goals

1,8

2,1

Scored

0,6

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 18. · Montpellier 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	19	12	5	2	+16	41
2	St Etienne	19	10	4	5	+11	34
3	Dunkerque	19	9	6	4	+14	33
4	Reims	19	9	5	5	+12	32
5	Red Star	18	9	5	4	+8	32
6	Le Mans	19	8	8	3	+5	32
7	Guingamp	19	8	5	6	+1	29
8	Pau FC	19	7	6	6	-4	27
9	Annecy	19	7	4	8	+4	25
10	Montpellier	19	7	4	8	-1	25
11	Rodez	19	5	8	6	-5	23
12	Clermont	19	5	7	7	-3	22
13	Grenoble	19	5	6	8	-6	21
14	Nancy	19	6	3	10	-9	21
15	Boulogne	19	5	4	10	-10	19
16	Amiens	19	5	3	11	-8	18
17	Laval	19	3	6	10	-14	15
18	Bastia	18	3	5	10	-11	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	11	9	1	1	+14	28
2	Reims	9	6	1	2	+9	19
3	Dunkerque	10	5	3	2	+9	18
4	Le Mans	10	5	3	2	+3	18
5	St Etienne	9	5	2	2	+11	17
6	Guingamp	10	4	3	3	-1	15
7	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Rodez	10	3	5	2	+1	14
9	Pau FC	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Grenoble	10	3	5	2	-2	14
11	Annecy	9	3	4	2	+5	13
12	Clermont	9	3	4	2	+3	13
13	Red Star	8	3	3	2	-1	12
14	Nancy	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Boulogne	10	3	1	6	-7	10
16	Bastia	8	2	2	4	-5	8
17	Amiens	9	1	2	6	-5	5
18	Laval	9	0	3	6	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	10	6	2	2	+9	20
2	St Etienne	10	5	2	3	+0	17
3	Dunkerque	9	4	3	2	+5	15
4	Guingamp	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Le Mans	9	3	5	1	+2	14
6	Reims	10	3	4	3	+3	13
7	Troyes	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Amiens	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	Pau FC	9	3	4	2	-3	13
10	Annecy	10	4	0	6	-1	12
11	Laval	10	3	3	4	-5	12
12	Montpellier	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Nancy	10	3	2	5	-5	11
14	Boulogne	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Rodez	9	2	3	4	-6	9
16	Clermont	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Grenoble	9	2	1	6	-4	7
18	Bastia	10	1	3	6	-6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.