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Süper Lig

Referee: C Altay

Kasimpasa

U U T U T

0–1

Full-time

Samsunspor

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

1,8

Scored

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 24%

16%

32%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

42%

37%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

63%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,17 xG 0,72

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 15. · Samsunspor 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	19	14	4	1	+29	+20.4	46
2	Fenerbahce	19	12	7	0	+26	+24.3	43
3	Trabzonspor	19	12	5	2	+15	+1.7	41
4	Goztep	19	10	6	3	+14	+2.2	36
5	Besiktas	19	9	6	4	+9	+17.1	33
6	Buyuksehyr	19	8	5	6	+13	+1.8	29
7	Samsunspor	19	6	9	4	+2	+7.6	27
8	Gaziantep	19	6	7	6	-6	-2.6	25
9	Kocaelispor	19	6	6	7	-3	-0.3	24
10	Alanyaspor	19	4	10	5	+0	-4.2	22
11	Genclerbirligi	19	5	4	10	-4	-9.0	19
12	Rizespor	19	4	7	8	-6	-0.1	19
13	Konyaspor	19	4	7	8	-8	-4.0	19
14	Antalyaspor	19	5	4	10	-14	-10.8	19
15	Kasimpasa	19	3	7	9	-11	-10.0	16
16	Eyüpspor	19	3	6	10	-14	-8.9	15
17	Kayserispor	19	2	9	8	-21	-11.4	15
18	Karagumruk	19	2	3	14	-21	-13.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	7	3	0	+14	+12.1	24
2	Trabzonspor	10	6	4	0	+11	+6.3	22
3	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	0	+12	+16.6	21
4	Goztep	9	5	3	1	+8	+3.0	18
5	Kocaelispor	10	5	3	2	+4	+6.0	18
6	Besiktas	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.4	17
7	Genclerbirligi	9	4	2	3	+2	+2.3	14
8	Samsunspor	10	3	5	2	+0	+6.8	14
9	Buyuksehyr	9	3	4	2	+4	+0.8	13
10	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	+2	-2.1	12
11	Gaziantep	10	3	3	4	-5	+2.6	12
12	Rizespor	10	3	2	5	-4	+4.5	11
13	Konyaspor	10	2	4	4	-2	+1.0	10
14	Eyüpspor	10	2	4	4	-6	-1.3	10
15	Antalyaspor	9	2	1	6	-12	-3.1	7
16	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-15	-5.2	6
17	Kasimpasa	9	0	5	4	-6	-1.1	5
18	Karagumruk	10	1	2	7	-10	-4.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	7	1	1	+15	+8.3	22
2	Fenerbahce	10	6	4	0	+14	+7.6	22
3	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	+4	-4.6	19
4	Goztep	10	5	3	2	+6	-0.8	18
5	Buyuksehyr	10	5	1	4	+9	+1.0	16
6	Besiktas	10	4	4	2	+5	+7.7	16
7	Samsunspor	9	3	4	2	+2	+0.8	13
8	Gaziantep	9	3	4	2	-1	-5.1	13
9	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	-2	-7.8	12
10	Kasimpasa	10	3	2	5	-5	-9.0	11
11	Alanyaspor	10	1	7	2	-2	-2.1	10
12	Konyaspor	9	2	3	4	-6	-4.9	9
13	Kayserispor	10	1	6	3	-6	-6.2	9
14	Rizespor	9	1	5	3	-2	-4.6	8
15	Kocaelispor	9	1	3	5	-7	-6.3	6
16	Genclerbirligi	10	1	2	7	-6	-11.3	5
17	Eyüpspor	9	1	2	6	-8	-7.6	5
18	Karagumruk	9	1	1	7	-11	-9.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.