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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Prigan
Nurnberg
U T S S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Preußen Münster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
37%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
58%
63%
Both score Ø 66%
58%
74%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,92 xG 0,57
54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
7 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 9. · Preußen Münster 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 19 12 3 4 +12 +5.7 39
2 Darmstadt 19 10 7 2 +14 +6.8 37
3 Paderborn 19 11 3 5 +9 +10.5 36
4 Elversberg 19 10 5 4 +15 -2.8 35
5 Hannover 19 9 5 5 +7 +6.2 32
6 Kaiserslautern 19 9 4 6 +10 +0.6 31
7 Hertha 19 8 6 5 +5 -2.2 30
8 Karlsruhe 19 7 5 7 -6 -13.9 26
9 Nurnberg 19 7 4 8 -5 +0.3 25
10 Holstein Kiel 19 6 6 7 +0 -6.7 24
11 Bochum 19 6 5 8 +1 +3.5 23
12 Braunschweig 19 6 3 10 -12 +0.7 21
13 Bielefeld 19 5 5 9 +2 +0.1 20
14 Magdeburg 19 6 2 11 -6 +6.1 20
15 Preußen Münster 19 5 5 9 -7 -3.6 20
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 6 2 11 -12 -4.8 20
17 Dresden 19 5 4 10 -7 +0.8 19
18 Greuther Furth 19 4 4 11 -20 -7.2 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Preußen Münster
10′
🟨 Zidan Sertdemir
Fabio Gruber 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 Jannis Heuer
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Meyerhofer
↦ M. Schulz
46′
🔁 I. Rondic
↦ J. Heuer
Adam Markhiev 🟨
53′
1–0 M. A. Zoma
56′
63′
J. Hendrix 1–1
M. Kirkeskov
R. Nzingoula 🔁
↦ J. Justvan
72′
73′
🔁 T. Paetow
↦ Z. Sertdemir
73′
🔁 S. Yamada
↦ E. Amenyido
T. Baack 🔁
↦ F. O. Becker
85′
M. Biron 🔁
↦ M. A. Zoma
85′
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ P. Scobel
85′
88′
🔁 C. Makridis
↦ M. Benger
93′
🟨 Imad Rondić
94′
🟨 Jorrit Hendrix
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-4-2
1 J. Reichert G
32 T. Janisch D
4 F. Gruber D
24 L. Lochoshvili D
21 B. Yilmaz D
10 J. Justvan M
25 F. O. Becker M
6 A. Markhiev M
18 R. Lubach M
23 M. A. Zoma F
39 P. Scobel F
Bench (9)
26 C. Mathenia
28 T. Buchmann
41 E. Porstner
5 T. Baack
16 M. Soldic
22 R. Nzingoula
7 M. Biron
33 A. Grimaldi
37 N. Maboulou

Coach: Miroslav Klose

Preußen Münster

4-3-1-2
1 J. Schenk G
27 J. ter Horst D
22 J. Heuer D
3 P. Jaeckel D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
7 Z. Sertdemir M
6 M. Benger M
20 J. Hendrix M
10 M. Schulz
17 O. Batista Meier F
30 E. Amenyido F
Bench (9)
26 M. Behrens
16 T. Paetow
24 N. Koulis
25 L. Bolay
28 M. Meyerhofer
14 C. Makridis
19 M. Benjamins
9 S. Yamada
29 I. Rondic

Coach: Alexander Ende

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U ✓
3,42
B
3,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Prigan · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.