Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

Heerenveen

U T S S S

3–3

Full-time

NAC Breda

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Heerenveen NAC Breda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 30%

38%

22%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

75%

78%

Both score Ø 78%

88%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,30 xG 1,44

54% Possession 46%

10 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 11. · NAC Breda 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	8	1	0	+19	+13.6	25
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	1	1	+15	+9.8	22
3	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	3	1	+7	+7.7	18
4	Ajax	9	4	4	1	+5	+4.3	16
5	Groningen	9	5	0	4	+1	+1.1	15
6	Nijmegen	9	4	2	3	+8	+5.7	14
7	Twente	9	4	2	3	+3	+8.9	14
8	For Sittard	9	4	1	4	+0	-4.5	13
9	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	1	4	-9	-4.5	13
10	Utrecht	8	4	0	4	+7	+0.5	12
11	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+0	+7.7	11
12	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	4	3	-1	-3.8	10
13	Excelsior	9	3	0	6	-9	-7.3	9
14	NAC Breda	9	2	2	5	-6	-5.7	8
15	Zwolle	9	2	2	5	-8	-8.1	8
16	Telstar	9	2	1	6	-6	-4.3	7
17	Volendam	9	1	4	4	-6	-6.7	7
18	Heracles	9	1	0	8	-20	-14.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+6	+6.7	12
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+5	+4.3	12
3	Nijmegen	5	3	1	1	+7	+5.1	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	1	1	+6	+6.3	10
5	For Sittard	4	3	1	0	+3	+1.5	10
6	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.6	9
7	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+4	+1.1	9
8	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+4	+3.9	8
9	Heerenveen	5	2	2	1	+1	+6.0	8
10	Twente	4	2	1	1	+0	+4.0	7
11	NAC Breda	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.2	7
12	Excelsior	5	2	0	3	-1	-4.2	6
13	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.4	5
14	Volendam	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
15	Telstar	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.3	4
16	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-7	-2.9	4
17	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-7	-4.0	3
18	Heracles	4	1	0	3	-8	-6.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+13	+6.9	13
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.5	12
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.8	10
4	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	0	2	-2	-1.5	9
5	Twente	5	2	1	2	+3	+4.8	7
6	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-3	-0.0	6
7	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.2	5
8	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.1	5
9	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	+1	+0.6	4
10	Ajax	4	0	4	0	+0	+0.0	4
11	Utrecht	4	1	0	3	-1	-3.1	3
12	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.7	3
13	For Sittard	5	1	0	4	-3	-6.1	3
14	Telstar	4	1	0	3	-3	-4.6	3
15	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-8	-3.1	3
16	Volendam	5	0	2	3	-6	-5.7	2
17	NAC Breda	4	0	1	3	-6	-7.8	1
18	Heracles	5	0	0	5	-12	-7.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.