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Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Leeds

T S U T T

2–1

Full-time

West Ham

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds West Ham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

25%

13%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,49 xG 0,65

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leeds 16. · West Ham 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	8	6	1	1	+12	+9.3	19
2	Man City	8	5	1	2	+11	+6.3	16
3	Liverpool	8	5	0	3	+3	+4.5	15
4	Bournemouth	8	4	3	1	+3	-0.3	15
5	Chelsea	8	4	2	2	+7	+0.6	14
6	Tottenham	8	4	2	2	+7	-0.9	14
7	Sunderland	8	4	2	2	+3	-2.2	14
8	Crystal Palace	8	3	4	1	+4	+6.5	13
9	Man United	8	4	1	3	-1	+2.6	13
10	Brighton	8	3	3	2	+1	+1.6	12
11	Aston Villa	8	3	3	2	+0	-4.0	12
12	Everton	8	3	2	3	+0	-1.5	11
13	Brentford	8	3	1	4	-1	+0.9	10
14	Newcastle	8	2	3	3	+0	+4.3	9
15	Fulham	8	2	2	4	-4	-3.3	8
16	Leeds	8	2	2	4	-6	+1.8	8
17	Burnley	8	2	1	5	-6	-10.9	7
18	Nott'm Forest	8	1	2	5	-10	-5.4	5
19	West Ham	8	1	1	6	-12	-6.7	4
20	Wolves	8	0	2	6	-11	-3.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+10	+6.7	10
2	Sunderland	4	3	1	0	+6	+0.6	10
3	Bournemouth	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.2	10
4	Man City	4	3	0	1	+7	+4.7	9
5	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.2	9
6	Man United	4	3	0	1	+3	+5.2	9
7	Everton	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.7	8
8	Brighton	4	2	2	0	+2	+0.7	8
9	Burnley	4	2	1	1	+3	-4.7	7
10	Brentford	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.0	7
11	Fulham	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.8	7
12	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.8	7
13	Aston Villa	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.8	7
14	Crystal Palace	4	1	3	0	+1	+4.8	6
15	Newcastle	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.1	6
16	Leeds	4	1	2	1	+0	+3.7	5
17	Tottenham	4	1	1	2	+1	+0.1	4
18	Nott'm Forest	4	1	0	3	-5	-0.7	3
19	Wolves	4	0	1	3	-7	-1.8	1
20	West Ham	4	0	0	4	-10	-6.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tottenham	4	3	1	0	+6	-1.0	10
2	Arsenal	4	3	0	1	+2	+2.6	9
3	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	+6	-0.3	7
4	Man City	4	2	1	1	+4	+1.6	7
5	Crystal Palace	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.7	7
6	Liverpool	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.4	6
7	Aston Villa	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.2	5
8	Bournemouth	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.5	5
9	Brighton	4	1	1	2	-1	+0.8	4
10	West Ham	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.3	4
11	Sunderland	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.8	4
12	Man United	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.6	4
13	Newcastle	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.2	3
14	Brentford	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.9	3
15	Everton	4	1	0	3	-3	-2.3	3
16	Leeds	4	1	0	3	-6	-1.9	3
17	Nott'm Forest	4	0	2	2	-5	-4.7	2
18	Wolves	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.4	1
19	Fulham	4	0	1	3	-6	-2.5	1
20	Burnley	4	0	0	4	-9	-6.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.