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Ligue 2
Referee: A Perreau Niel
Valenciennes
S T U U S
3–2
Full-time
Nimes
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 9. · Nimes 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 6 3 3 0 +5 12
2 Bordeaux 6 3 2 1 +7 11
3 Dijon 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Amiens 6 3 2 1 +1 11
5 Metz 6 3 1 2 +6 10
6 Sochaux 6 3 1 2 +5 10
7 Guingamp 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Le Havre 6 2 3 1 +7 9
9 Valenciennes 6 2 3 1 +0 9
10 Grenoble 6 2 3 1 -1 9
11 Paris FC 6 1 4 1 +0 7
12 Laval 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Nimes 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 St Etienne 6 1 3 2 -2 6
15 Quevilly Rouen 6 1 3 2 -4 6
16 Bastia 6 2 0 4 -5 6
17 Niort 6 2 0 4 -6 6
18 Annecy 6 1 2 3 -1 5
19 Rodez 6 1 2 3 -5 5
20 Pau FC 6 0 3 3 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valenciennes Nimes
Ilyes Hamache 🟨
9′
1–0 M. Kaba
Q. Lecoeuche
29′
M. Debuchy 🔁
↦ A. Linguet
40′
45′
M. Tchokounté 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Ronny Labonne
U. Bonnet 🔁
↦ I. Hamache
46′
2–1 M. Noubissi
J. Cuffaut
49′
64′
🔁 R. Saïd
↦ L. Delpech
64′
🔁 P. Pagis
↦ E. Ómarsson
65′
🔁 M. Koné
↦ M. Tchokounté
69′
M. Koné 2–2
M. Picouleau 🔁
↦ Y. El Amri
74′
N. Diliberto 🔁
↦ A. Zinga
74′
3–2 U. Bonnet
77′
79′
🔁 P. Burner
↦ T. Vargas
83′
🟨 Maël Durand de Gevigney
Mohamed Kaba 🟨
85′
N. Innocenti 🔁
↦ M. Noubissi
90′
90′
🔁 M. Zampa
↦ J. NGuessan
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Valenciennes

4-4-2
1 G. Larsonneur G
24 A. Linguet D
37 M. Rabuel D
14 J. Cuffaut D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
22 Y. El Amri M
6 J. Masson M
21 M. Kaba M
20 I. Hamache M
9 M. Noubissi F
15 A. Zinga F
Bench (7)
26 M. Debuchy
11 U. Bonnet
27 M. Picouleau
8 N. Diliberto
19 N. Innocenti
16 H. Konaté
52 Y. Martin

Coach: N. Rabuel

Nimes

5-3-2
16 L. Dias G
8 T. Vargas D
17 R. Labonne D
4 M. de Gevigney D
2 K. Guessoum D
3 S. Sadzoute D
20 L. Delpech M
12 L. Fomba M
21 J. N'Guessan M
9 E. Ómarsson F
18 M. Tchokounté F
Bench (7)
15 R. Saïd
11 P. Pagis
65 M. Koné
97 P. Burner
34 M. Zampa
1 A. Maraval
33 R. Nasraoui

Coach: N. Usaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,17
B
3,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,27
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Perreau Niel · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.