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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
2–1
Full-time
Regensburg
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Regensburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
30%
26%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
63%
48%
Both score Ø 54%
74%
33%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 11. · Regensburg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 27 17 7 3 +21 58
2 Hamburg 27 16 5 6 +21 53
3 Heidenheim 27 14 9 4 +22 51
4 St Pauli 27 13 8 6 +13 47
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 13 5 9 +11 44
6 Paderborn 27 13 4 10 +17 43
7 Kaiserslautern 27 10 10 7 +4 40
8 Holstein Kiel 27 9 10 8 +1 37
9 Karlsruhe 27 10 6 11 +1 36
10 Hannover 27 9 7 11 -3 34
11 Greuther Furth 27 8 9 10 -3 33
12 Magdeburg 27 9 5 13 -11 32
13 Nurnberg 27 8 6 13 -16 30
14 Bielefeld 27 8 5 14 -4 29
15 Braunschweig 27 7 8 12 -12 29
16 Regensburg 27 7 6 14 -16 27
17 Hansa Rostock 27 7 4 16 -20 25
18 Sandhausen 27 5 6 16 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Regensburg
Julian Green 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🔁 C. Viet
↦ B. Gimber
Max Christiansen 🟨
48′
48′
P. Owusu 0–1
D. Abiama 🔁
↦ A. Sieb
53′
T. Raschl 🔁
↦ L. Petkov
53′
62′
🟨 Prince-Osei Owusu
S. Griesbeck 🔁
↦ G. Jung
64′
1–1 J. Green
66′
2–1 D. Abiama
S. Asta
77′
82′
🔁 B. Idrizi
↦ C. Makridis
82′
🔁 A. Yildirim
↦ S. Singh
82′
🔁 A. Albers
↦ M. Thalhammer
89′
🔁 M. Gouras
↦ L. Guwara
M. Meyerhöfer 🔁
↦ J. Green
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-1-4-2
1 A. Linde G
23 G. Jung D
4 D. Michalski D
27 L. Itter D
13 M. Christiansen M
2 S. Asta M
37 J. Green M
16 L. Petkov M
5 O. Haddadi M
30 A. Sieb F
39 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
11 D. Abiama
20 T. Raschl
22 S. Griesbeck
18 M. Meyerhöfer
9 Afimico Pululu
25 L. Schaffran
8 N. Seufert
33 M. Dietz
6 S. Raebiger

Coach: A. Zorniger

Regensburg

4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig G
6 B. Saller D
23 S. Breitkreuz D
24 S. Kennedy D
20 L. Guwara D
5 B. Gimber M
8 M. Thalhammer M
15 S. Singh M
10 K. Caliskaner M
26 C. Makridis M
9 P. Owusu F
Bench (9)
30 C. Viet
14 B. Idrizi
18 A. Yildirim
19 A. Albers
22 M. Gouras
28 S. Nachreiner
21 T. Kirschbaum
27 L. Günther
11 K. Faber

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,72
B
4,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.