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2. Bundesliga

Osnabruck

T T S T T

0–1

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

8 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 4

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osnabruck 11. · Erzgebirge Aue 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	16	10	3	3	+17	33
2	Bochum	16	10	2	4	+15	32
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	9	3	4	+5	30
4	Holstein Kiel	16	8	5	3	+9	29
5	Greuther Furth	16	8	4	4	+10	28
6	Karlsruhe	16	8	1	7	+4	25
7	Heidenheim	16	7	4	5	+2	25
8	Hannover	16	7	2	7	+5	23
9	Erzgebirge Aue	16	6	4	6	+3	22
10	Paderborn	16	6	4	6	+2	22
11	Osnabruck	16	6	4	6	-6	22
12	Nurnberg	16	5	5	6	+0	20
13	Regensburg	16	5	5	6	-2	20
14	Darmstadt	16	5	3	8	-3	18
15	Sandhausen	16	4	2	10	-17	14
16	Braunschweig	16	3	5	8	-18	14
17	St Pauli	16	2	7	7	-9	13
18	Wurzburger Kickers	16	2	3	11	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	9	6	3	0	+12	21
2	Bochum	9	6	2	1	+14	20
3	Hamburg	9	6	1	2	+14	19
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	6	1	0	+8	19
5	Hannover	8	5	1	2	+10	16
6	Erzgebirge Aue	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Regensburg	9	4	2	3	+2	14
8	Holstein Kiel	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Paderborn	7	4	1	2	+3	13
10	Nurnberg	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Greuther Furth	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Sandhausen	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Braunschweig	8	3	2	3	-4	11
14	Karlsruhe	7	3	0	4	+1	9
15	Darmstadt	7	2	2	3	+0	8
16	Osnabruck	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	St Pauli	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Karlsruhe	9	5	1	3	+3	16
3	Holstein Kiel	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Osnabruck	9	4	3	2	-2	15
5	Hamburg	7	4	2	1	+3	14
6	Bochum	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Darmstadt	9	3	1	5	-3	10
9	Paderborn	9	2	3	4	-1	9
10	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Erzgebirge Aue	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	St Pauli	9	1	4	4	-4	7
13	Hannover	8	2	1	5	-5	7
14	Regensburg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
15	Heidenheim	7	1	1	5	-10	4
16	Wurzburger Kickers	7	1	0	6	-9	3
17	Braunschweig	8	0	3	5	-14	3
18	Sandhausen	8	1	0	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.