Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bochum
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Greuther Furth
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 18 |
| 2 |
Hamburg
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |
Holstein Kiel
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |
Osnabruck
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |
Paderborn
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |
Bochum
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |
Karlsruhe
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 9 |
Heidenheim
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |
Regensburg
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Darmstadt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |
Nurnberg
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 |
Hannover
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Sandhausen
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |
Braunschweig
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 17 |
St Pauli
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |
Wurzburger Kickers
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hamburg
Bochum
Bochum
Greuther Furth
Wurzburger Kickers
Bochum
Bochum
Erzgebirge Aue
Braunschweig
Bochum
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.