Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Norwich
Bournemouth
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norwich
|
41 | 27 | 9 | 5 | +37 | 90 |
| 2 |
Watford
|
42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | +31 | 82 |
| 3 |
Bournemouth
|
40 | 20 | 11 | 9 | +27 | 71 |
| 4 |
Barnsley
|
39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | +14 | 71 |
| 5 |
Brentford
|
39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | +30 | 70 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | +15 | 69 |
| 7 |
Reading
|
42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | +11 | 67 |
| 8 |
Cardiff
|
42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | +12 | 60 |
| 9 |
Millwall
|
42 | 14 | 17 | 11 | +1 | 59 |
| 10 |
QPR
|
42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | -1 | 59 |
| 11 |
Middlesbrough
|
42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | +2 | 57 |
| 12 |
Stoke
|
42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | -1 | 56 |
| 13 |
Luton
|
41 | 16 | 8 | 17 | -10 | 56 |
| 14 |
Bristol City
|
42 | 15 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 51 |
| 15 |
Blackburn
|
42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | +6 | 50 |
| 16 |
Nott'm Forest
|
42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | -7 | 49 |
| 17 |
Preston
|
42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 49 |
| 18 |
Huddersfield
|
42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | -17 | 47 |
| 19 |
Coventry
|
41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | -19 | 45 |
| 20 |
Birmingham
|
41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | -19 | 45 |
| 21 |
Derby
|
42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | -17 | 43 |
| 22 |
Sheffield Weds
|
42 | 11 | 9 | 22 | -20 | 42 |
| 23 |
Rotherham
|
39 | 11 | 6 | 22 | -12 | 39 |
| 24 |
Wycombe
|
42 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -34 | 34 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Hanley
D
D. Giannoulis
D
A. Omobamidele
D
K. McLean
M
E. Buendía
M
K. Dowell
M
T. Cantwell
M
O. Skipp
M
Coach: D. Farke
A. Smith
D
C. Carter-Vickers
D
L. Kelly
D
B. Pearson
M
J. Lerma
M
P. Billing
M
D. Brooks
M
D. Solanke
F
A. Groeneveld
M
Coach: J. Woodgate
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Derby
Norwich
Norwich
Huddersfield
Preston
Norwich
Norwich
Blackburn
Nott'm Forest
Norwich
G Scott · 87 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.