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Süper Lig
Referee: Atilla Karaoglan
1–0
Full-time
Alanyaspor
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yeni Malatyaspor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 32/33 matches
Win Ø 34%
22%
45%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
47%
48%
Both score Ø 59%
63%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
3 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yeni Malatyaspor 16. · Alanyaspor 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 33 22 5 6 +37 71
2 Fenerbahce 33 20 6 7 +26 66
3 Galatasaray 32 19 5 8 +31 62
4 Trabzonspor 33 16 10 7 +9 58
5 Alanyaspor 33 15 7 11 +16 52
6 Gaziantep 32 13 11 8 +10 50
7 Sivasspor 33 12 14 7 +7 50
8 Hatayspor 32 14 7 11 +13 49
9 Karagumruk 33 13 10 10 +9 49
10 Goztep 33 12 10 11 +5 46
11 Antalyaspor 34 9 15 10 -10 42
12 Konyaspor 33 10 11 12 -1 41
13 Rizespor 33 9 12 12 -12 39
14 Ankaragücü 33 10 7 16 -12 37
15 Kasimpasa 33 9 9 15 -13 36
16 Yeni Malatyaspor 32 7 13 12 -6 34
17 Kayserispor 33 8 10 15 -17 34
18 Buyuksehyr 32 8 9 15 -16 33
19 Erzurumspor 34 7 10 17 -23 31
20 Genclerbirligi 33 8 7 18 -26 31
21 Denizlispor 33 6 8 19 -27 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yeni Malatyaspor Alanyaspor
Afriyie Acquah 🟨
30′
Teenage Hadebe 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
K. Kanatsızkuş 🔁
↦ A. Acquah
46′
1–0 T. Hadebe
Karim Hafez
64′
69′
🔁 S. Uçan
↦ E. Bekiroglu
69′
🔁 M. Pektemek
↦ B. Kutlu
76′
🔁 A. Bareiro
↦ D. Kądzior
Moryke Fofana 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 T. Bingöl
↦ K. Babacar
Zeki Yavru 🟨
90′
E. Ndizeye 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
90′
A. Malle 🔁
↦ A. Büyük
96′
B. Cevahir 🔁
↦ Z. Yavru
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
61 Z. Yavru M
57 I. Chebake D
13 Wallace D
45 Karim Hafez D
17 T. Hadebe D
6 A. Acquah M
20 A. Ildız M
9 U. Bulut F
99 A. Büyük M
21 M. Fofana M
Bench (10)
90 K. Kanatsızkuş
12 A. Malle
27 E. Ndizeye
92 B. Cevahir
1 A. Damlu
24 O. Şahan
66 J. Nshimirimana
39 E. Kaş
98 J. Topalli
14 D. Emeksiz

Coach: İ. Buz

Alanyaspor

4-1-4-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
21 F. Moubandje D
24 Juanfran D
26 E. Siopis M
23 E. Bekiroglu M
22 B. Kutlu M
10 K. Babacar F
92 D. Kądzior M
91 Davidson M
Bench (10)
8 S. Uçan
19 M. Pektemek
9 A. Bareiro
75 T. Bingöl
30 S. Kırıntılı
6 C. Gülselam
3 A. Gülay
5 F. Aksoy
27 U. Güneş
4 A. Çelebi

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,11
U
3,35
B
2,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Atilla Karaoglan · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.