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2. Bundesliga
St Pauli
U T S S S
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Wurzburger Kickers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
39%
18%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
68%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

16 Shots 1
7 Shots on target 0
7 Corners 0
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 8. · Wurzburger Kickers 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bochum 28 17 3 8 +20 54
2 Greuther Furth 28 14 9 5 +19 51
3 Hamburg 28 14 8 6 +22 50
4 Holstein Kiel 26 13 7 6 +14 46
5 Heidenheim 28 13 6 9 +5 45
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 12 7 8 +2 43
7 Karlsruhe 27 12 6 9 +6 42
8 St Pauli 28 11 8 9 +0 41
9 Paderborn 29 10 9 10 +4 39
10 Erzgebirge Aue 28 10 7 11 -3 37
11 Hannover 27 10 6 11 +5 36
12 Darmstadt 29 10 6 13 -2 36
13 Regensburg 27 8 10 9 -4 34
14 Nurnberg 28 8 9 11 -6 33
15 Braunschweig 29 7 9 13 -19 30
16 Osnabruck 28 7 5 16 -20 26
17 Sandhausen 27 7 4 16 -18 25
18 Wurzburger Kickers 28 5 5 18 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
4,26
B
5,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.