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Ligue 2

Toulouse

T S T S U

1–0

Full-time

Chateauroux

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Chateauroux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 33%

53%

13%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 49%

47%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 10

24 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 3. · Chateauroux 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	33	19	8	6	+17	65
2	Clermont	33	17	9	7	+32	60
3	Toulouse	32	17	8	7	+26	59
4	Grenoble	32	16	9	7	+16	57
5	Paris FC	32	15	10	7	+12	55
6	Auxerre	32	13	12	7	+21	51
7	Sochaux	32	11	14	7	+13	47
8	Valenciennes	32	11	10	11	-5	43
9	Nancy	32	10	11	11	+1	41
10	Amiens	31	10	10	11	-3	40
11	Le Havre	33	9	13	11	-10	40
12	Ajaccio	32	10	9	13	-10	39
13	Rodez	32	8	14	10	-5	38
14	Niort	32	9	11	12	-16	38
15	Caen	33	8	12	13	-12	36
16	Pau FC	32	9	8	15	-10	35
17	Dunkerque	31	9	7	15	-11	34
18	Guingamp	32	5	16	11	-11	31
19	Chambly	32	6	10	16	-24	28
20	Chateauroux	32	4	9	19	-21	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	17	13	3	1	+13	42
2	Clermont	17	11	5	1	+25	38
3	Toulouse	16	11	3	2	+22	36
4	Grenoble	16	10	6	0	+19	36
5	Paris FC	16	9	5	2	+9	32
6	Auxerre	16	8	5	3	+18	29
7	Valenciennes	16	7	5	4	+4	26
8	Amiens	16	6	7	3	+4	25
9	Pau FC	16	7	4	5	+3	25
10	Ajaccio	16	7	4	5	+1	25
11	Rodez	16	6	6	4	+3	24
12	Niort	16	6	5	5	-3	23
13	Nancy	16	5	7	4	+0	22
14	Caen	16	5	7	4	-3	22
15	Sochaux	16	5	6	5	+2	21
16	Dunkerque	15	5	5	5	+3	20
17	Le Havre	16	3	8	5	-5	17
18	Chambly	16	5	2	9	-9	17
19	Guingamp	16	2	9	5	-7	15
20	Chateauroux	16	3	3	10	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	16	6	8	2	+11	26
2	Toulouse	16	6	5	5	+4	23
3	Troyes	16	6	5	5	+4	23
4	Paris FC	16	6	5	5	+3	23
5	Le Havre	17	6	5	6	-5	23
6	Clermont	16	6	4	6	+7	22
7	Auxerre	16	5	7	4	+3	22
8	Grenoble	16	6	3	7	-3	21
9	Nancy	16	5	4	7	+1	19
10	Valenciennes	16	4	5	7	-9	17
11	Guingamp	16	3	7	6	-4	16
12	Amiens	15	4	3	8	-7	15
13	Niort	16	3	6	7	-13	15
14	Rodez	16	2	8	6	-8	14
15	Caen	17	3	5	9	-9	14
16	Ajaccio	16	3	5	8	-11	14
17	Dunkerque	16	4	2	10	-14	14
18	Chambly	16	1	8	7	-15	11
19	Pau FC	16	2	4	10	-13	10
20	Chateauroux	16	1	6	9	-12	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.