Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Troyes
|
33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | +17 | 65 |
| 2 |
Clermont
|
33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +32 | 60 |
| 3 |
Toulouse
|
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +26 | 59 |
| 4 |
Grenoble
|
32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | +16 | 57 |
| 5 |
Paris FC
|
32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | +12 | 55 |
| 6 |
Auxerre
|
32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | +21 | 51 |
| 7 |
Sochaux
|
32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | +13 | 47 |
| 8 |
Valenciennes
|
32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -5 | 43 |
| 9 |
Nancy
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 10 |
Amiens
|
31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 |
Le Havre
|
33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 |
Ajaccio
|
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 39 |
| 13 |
Rodez
|
32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | -5 | 38 |
| 14 |
Niort
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -16 | 38 |
| 15 |
Caen
|
33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 |
Pau FC
|
32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | -10 | 35 |
| 17 |
Dunkerque
|
31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | -11 | 34 |
| 18 |
Guingamp
|
32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | -11 | 31 |
| 19 | Chambly | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -24 | 28 |
| 20 |
Chateauroux
|
32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -21 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valenciennes
Rodez
Ajaccio
Toulouse
Troyes
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.