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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Millwall
U U U T U
1–2
Full-time
Bristol City
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Championship · 44/44 matches
Win Ø 32%
23%
41%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
36%
Both score Ø 54%
55%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 21. · Bristol City 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 45 26 13 6 +35 91
2 Sheffield United 45 26 10 9 +37 88
3 Leeds 43 23 8 12 +19 77
4 West Brom 43 22 10 11 +25 76
5 Aston Villa 42 19 15 8 +20 72
6 Derby 41 19 13 9 +22 70
7 Middlesbrough 45 19 13 13 +7 70
8 Bristol City 44 18 12 14 +5 66
9 Sheffield Weds 45 16 16 13 -1 64
10 Nott'm Forest 45 16 15 14 +6 63
11 Swansea 44 18 9 17 +3 63
12 Brentford 45 16 13 16 +11 61
13 Preston 45 16 13 16 +3 61
14 Hull 45 17 10 18 -2 61
15 Birmingham 45 14 18 13 +6 60
16 Blackburn 45 16 11 18 -5 59
17 Stoke 45 11 21 13 -7 54
18 Wigan 45 12 13 20 -14 49
19 QPR 45 13 9 23 -19 48
20 Reading 45 10 16 19 -17 46
21 Millwall 44 10 14 20 -14 44
22 Rotherham 45 8 16 21 -30 40
23 Bolton 45 8 8 29 -48 32
24 Ipswich 45 4 16 25 -42 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Bristol City
24′
🟨 Josh Brownhill
30′
🔁 E. Pisano
↦ J. Hunt
1–0 L. Gregory
S. Morison
41′
45′
🟨 Liam Walsh
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Palmer
↦ L. Walsh
58′
🟨 Kasey Palmer
62′
🔁 M. Taylor
↦ E. Pisano
76′
J. Paterson 1–1
C. McLaughlin 🔁
↦ J. Meredith
78′
81′
F. Diedhiou 1–2
J. Paterson
T. Elliott 🔁
↦ S. Williams
87′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Millwall

4-4-2
16 D. Martin G
3 J. Meredith D
15 A. Pearce D
12 M. Romeo D
5 J. Cooper D
6 S. Williams M
11 S. Ferguson M
28 R. Leonard M
18 R. Tunnicliffe M
20 S. Morison F
9 L. Gregory F
Bench (7)
2 C. McLaughlin
19 T. Elliott
26 J. Skalák
35 J. Debrah
42 B. Mitchell
50 G. Alexander
13 B. Amos

Coach: N. Harris

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
24 M. O’Leary G
4 A. Webster D
32 J. Hunt D
22 T. Kalas D
17 L. Kelly D
21 M. Pack M
8 J. Brownhill M
12 L. Walsh M
14 A. Weimann M
20 J. Paterson M
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
2 E. Pisano
45 K. Palmer
10 M. Taylor
40 Mohamed Eisa
5 B. Wright
3 J. Dasilva
19 N. Eliasson

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.