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Premier League

Referee: K Friend

Liverpool

U S U S S

1–1

Full-time

West Brom

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

3,0

0,7

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

64%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,9

2,8

Scored

2,6

0,7

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

78% Possession 22%

17 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 1. · West Brom 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	14	9	4	1	+17	31
2	Everton	15	9	2	4	+7	29
3	Leicester	15	9	1	5	+9	28
4	Man United	14	8	3	3	+7	27
5	Man City	14	7	5	2	+9	26
6	Aston Villa	13	8	1	4	+14	25
7	Chelsea	15	7	4	4	+13	25
8	Tottenham	14	7	4	3	+11	25
9	Southampton	15	7	4	4	+6	25
10	West Ham	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Leeds	15	6	2	7	-5	20
12	Wolves	14	6	2	6	-5	20
13	Newcastle	14	5	3	6	-7	18
14	Crystal Palace	15	5	3	7	-9	18
15	Arsenal	15	5	2	8	-4	17
16	Brighton	15	2	7	6	-6	13
17	Burnley	14	3	4	7	-12	13
18	Fulham	15	2	5	8	-10	11
19	West Brom	14	1	4	9	-19	7
20	Sheffield United	15	0	2	13	-18	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Chelsea	7	4	2	1	+10	14
3	Man City	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Everton	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Southampton	7	4	0	3	+4	12
6	West Ham	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Tottenham	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Wolves	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Leeds	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Aston Villa	7	3	1	3	+4	10
11	Leicester	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Arsenal	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Newcastle	7	3	1	3	-4	10
14	Man United	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Crystal Palace	7	2	2	3	-6	8
16	Burnley	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Fulham	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	West Brom	7	1	2	4	-10	5
19	Brighton	7	0	4	3	-4	4
20	Sheffield United	8	0	1	7	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Leicester	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Everton	8	5	1	2	+3	16
4	Aston Villa	6	5	0	1	+10	15
5	Tottenham	7	4	2	1	+9	14
6	Southampton	8	3	4	1	+2	13
7	Man City	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Chelsea	8	3	2	3	+3	11
9	Liverpool	7	2	4	1	+4	10
10	West Ham	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Crystal Palace	8	3	1	4	-3	10
12	Brighton	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Leeds	7	3	0	4	-5	9
14	Wolves	7	3	0	4	-6	9
15	Newcastle	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Arsenal	7	2	1	4	-2	7
17	Burnley	8	1	3	4	-9	6
18	Fulham	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	West Brom	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Sheffield United	7	0	1	6	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.