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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Fredrikstad

S S U T T

1–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 47%

56%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 36%

22%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,18 xG 2,47

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 9

12 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 4. · Sarpsborg 08 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	11	8	2	1	+17	+12.4	26
2	Rosenborg	10	6	3	1	+6	+7.8	21
3	Brann	10	6	2	2	+3	+9.3	20
4	Fredrikstad	9	5	1	3	+5	-2.7	16
5	Tromso	9	5	1	3	+2	+1.6	16
6	Sandefjord	8	5	0	3	+2	+1.6	15
7	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	1	2	+8	+6.0	13
8	Kristiansund	10	4	1	5	-3	-3.8	13
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	3	2	+6	+4.9	12
10	Molde	9	3	2	4	+0	+1.4	11
11	Valerenga	10	3	2	5	-3	-1.2	11
12	Ham-Kam	9	3	2	4	-7	-6.2	11
13	Bryne	8	3	0	5	-4	-0.3	9
14	Stromsgodset	9	2	0	7	-4	-6.4	6
15	KFUM Oslo	8	1	1	6	-9	-3.9	4
16	Haugesund	9	0	1	8	-19	-20.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	+8.1	14
2	Sandefjord	4	4	0	0	+7	+3.8	12
3	Fredrikstad	5	4	0	1	+6	-1.2	12
4	Rosenborg	5	3	2	0	+5	+8.1	11
5	Brann	6	3	2	1	+1	+4.7	11
6	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	0	1	+8	+4.7	9
7	Tromso	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.1	9
8	Ham-Kam	4	2	1	1	-1	-1.8	7
9	Bryne	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.9	6
10	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	1	2	+2	+3.5	4
11	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.3	4
12	Molde	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.9	4
13	KFUM Oslo	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.8	3
14	Kristiansund	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.1	3
15	Haugesund	4	0	1	3	-10	-5.7	1
16	Stromsgodset	5	0	0	5	-8	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	5	4	0	1	+7	+4.3	12
2	Rosenborg	5	3	1	1	+1	-0.3	10
3	Kristiansund	6	3	1	2	+0	-3.9	10
4	Brann	4	3	0	1	+2	+4.6	9
5	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.5	8
6	Molde	5	2	1	2	+2	-1.6	7
7	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.5	7
8	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.9	7
9	Stromsgodset	4	2	0	2	+4	-2.6	6
10	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.3	4
11	Fredrikstad	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.5	4
12	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-6	-4.5	4
13	Bryne	4	1	0	3	-3	-3.2	3
14	Sandefjord	4	1	0	3	-5	-2.2	3
15	KFUM Oslo	4	0	1	3	-6	-2.1	1
16	Haugesund	5	0	0	5	-9	-14.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.