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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Fredrikstad
S S S U T
0–2
Full-time
Rosenborg
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 60%
63%
56%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
38%
33%
Both score Ø 24%
25%
22%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,34 xG 1,33
41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fredrikstad 4. · Rosenborg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 10 7 2 1 +15 +12.4 23
2 Brann 9 6 2 1 +6 +8.4 20
3 Rosenborg 9 5 3 1 +4 +7.8 18
4 Fredrikstad 8 5 1 2 +7 -2.7 16
5 Sandefjord 8 5 0 3 +2 +1.6 15
6 Bodo/Glimt 6 4 1 1 +10 +6.0 13
7 Tromso 8 4 1 3 +1 +0.9 13
8 Kristiansund 10 4 1 5 -3 -3.8 13
9 Sarpsborg 08 8 3 3 2 +6 +4.9 12
10 Valerenga 9 3 2 4 -2 -0.6 11
11 Bryne 8 3 0 5 -4 -0.3 9
12 Molde 8 2 2 4 -3 +2.2 8
13 Ham-Kam 8 2 2 4 -10 -7.7 8
14 Stromsgodset 8 2 0 6 -1 -4.9 6
15 KFUM Oslo 8 1 1 6 -9 -3.9 4
16 Haugesund 9 0 1 8 -19 -20.4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Rosenborg
24′
O. Saeter 0–1
M. Zeidan
Half-time 0–1
R. R. Shein 🔁
↦ P. Metcalfe
57′
62′
🔁 I. Thorvaldsson
↦ O. Saeter
O. Ohlenschlaeger 🔁
↦ S. Sorlokk
66′
70′
🔁 D. Islamovic
↦ N. Holm
B. Faraas 🔁
↦ M. Woledzi
81′
L. Begby 🔁
↦ S. Molde
81′
85′
🟨 Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson
90′
M. Broholm 0–2
L. Racic
95′
🟨 Ole Selnaes
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

3-4-3
30 J. Fischer G
22 M. Woledzi D
12 U. Fredriksen D
15 F. Fall D
16 D. Eid M
6 L. Owusu M
11 P. Metcalfe M
4 S. Molde
13 S. Sorlokk
9 E. Holten F
23 H. Skogvold F
Bench (9)
1 O. Ovretveit
3 B. Skaret
5 S. Rafn
7 B. Faraas
18 L. Begby
19 R. R. Shein
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger
21 J. Hanstad
40 E. Granaas

Coach: Andreas Hagen

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 S. Tangvik G
2 E. Reitan D
4 L. Racic D
23 U. Jenssen D
19 A. Pereira D
5 M. Zeidan M
10 O. Selnaes M
8 I. Fossum M
7 M. Broholm F
18 N. Holm F
9 O. Saeter
Bench (9)
12 R. Sandberg
6 S. Vaananen
17 I. Thorvaldsson
22 H. Sletsjoe
39 D. Islamovic
45 J. Reitan-Sunde
50 H. Volden
55 E. Sandrod
60 E. Slordal

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.