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Conference League
Referee: J Vergoote
Tromso
U T S S U
1–0
Full-time
KuPS
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso KuPS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jul -24 KuPS – Tromso 0–1

Match report

Tromso KuPS
Lasse Selvåg Nordås ❌
penalty missed
3′
1–0 J. Hjertø-Dahl ⚽
29′
Half-time 1–0
F. Winther 🔁
↦ R. Jenssen
46′
51′
🔁 O. Ruoppi
↦ A. Heinonen
68′
🔁 J. Voutilainen
↦ A. Vidjeskog
68′
🔁 P. Ogunkoya
↦ O. Diawara
69′
🟨 Samuli Miettinen
L. Nilsen 🔁
↦ R. Norheim
73′
H. Larsen 🔁
↦ L. Nordås
73′
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 J. Oksanen
↦ P. Pennanen
78′
🔁 J. Muzinga
↦ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
M. Johnsgård 🔁
↦ J. Romsaas
81′
89′
🟨 Matias Siltanen
J. Robertsen 🔁
↦ Y. Paintsil
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
5 A. Jenssen D
21 T. Guddal D
4 V. Skjærvik D
17 Y. Paintsil M
11 R. Jenssen M
6 J. Hjertø-Dahl M
8 K. Antonsen M
23 R. Norheim M
10 J. Romsaas F
9 L. Nordås F
Bench (10)
7 F. Winther
25 L. Nilsen
19 H. Larsen
18 M. Johnsgård
3 J. Robertsen
27 C. Psyché
15 V. Erlien
33 H. Jenssen
14 M. Barry
12 S. Thomas

Coach: J. Vik

KuPS

4-4-2
1 J. Kreidl G
6 S. Savolainen F
15 I. Cissé D
16 S. Miettinen D
25 C. Antwi D
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba M
28 M. Siltanen M
8 P. Pennanen M
17 A. Heinonen M
11 O. Diawara F
26 A. Vidjeskog M
Bench (9)
34 O. Ruoppi
7 J. Voutilainen
23 P. Ogunkoya
13 J. Oksanen
9 J. Muzinga
12 A. Hakala
4 Kristopher Da Graça
18 S. Saarinen
33 T. Hämäläinen

Coach: J. Honkavaara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.