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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Stromsgodset
U U T T T
2–3
Full-time
Brann
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
31%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
38%
47%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
59%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,85 xG 1,55
32% Possession 68%
14 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 8. · Brann 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 18 12 4 2 +25 +14.7 40
2 Viking 16 9 4 3 +10 +4.9 31
3 Brann 17 8 6 3 +5 +10.9 30
4 Molde 17 8 4 5 +12 +11.0 28
5 Fredrikstad 16 7 6 3 +8 +1.2 27
6 KFUM Oslo 16 5 7 4 +0 +5.1 22
7 Lillestrom 15 6 2 7 -6 -3.7 20
8 Stromsgodset 16 5 4 7 -6 -1.9 19
9 Kristiansund 16 4 6 6 -3 -7.3 18
10 Tromso 17 5 3 9 -6 -8.1 18
11 Rosenborg 15 5 3 7 -7 -2.5 18
12 Sarpsborg 08 16 5 3 8 -8 -6.5 18
13 Ham-Kam 16 4 5 7 +0 -1.5 17
14 Haugesund 16 5 2 9 -8 -6.0 17
15 Odd 17 4 5 8 -12 -9.5 17
16 Sandefjord 16 4 4 8 -4 -0.7 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Brann
20′
B. Finne 0–1
O. Didrik Blomberg
21′
G. Valsvik 1–1
own goal
2–1 L. Tómasson
M. Mehnert
38′
Half-time 2–1
E. Andersen 🔁
↦ E. Danso
46′
63′
S. Kartum 2–2
N. Castro
Fredrik Kristensen Dahl 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 U. Mathisen
↦ O. Didrik Blomberg
B. Sørmo 🔁
↦ J. Taaje
71′
S. Westerlund 🔁
↦ L. Tómasson
71′
74′
🔁 M. Sande
↦ N. Castro
74′
🔁 A. Heggebø
↦ B. Finne
S. Silalahi 🔁
↦ F. Dahl
84′
F. Ardraa 🔁
↦ Marko Farji
89′
3–2 F. Ardraa
S. Silalahi
92′
Elias Hoff Melkersen 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

3-1-4-2
1 P. Kristian Bråtveit G
25 J. Taaje D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl D
20 E. Danso M
26 L. Vilsvik M
10 H. Stengel M
21 Marko Farji M
17 L. Tómasson M
77 M. Mehnert F
9 E. Melkersen F
Bench (7)
23 E. Andersen
5 B. Sørmo
4 S. Westerlund
37 S. Silalahi
36 F. Ardraa
84 A. Skistad
32 F. Stople

Coach: J. Isnes

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
3 F. Knudsen D
21 R. Kristiansen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
18 S. Kartum M
10 E. Kornvig M
8 F. Myhre M
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
11 B. Finne F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (8)
14 U. Mathisen
27 M. Sande
20 A. Heggebø
5 S. Opsahl
7 M. Warming
26 E. Helland
36 E. Holmen Johansen
43 R. Holten

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.