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Eliteserien

Referee: S Amland

Molde

S T S U S

3–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 48%

54%

42%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

69%

58%

Both score Ø 56%

62%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 3. · Lillestrom 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	3	1	+22	+12.7	33
2	Brann	15	8	4	3	+5	+12.3	28
3	Molde	13	7	3	3	+11	+11.0	24
4	Fredrikstad	12	6	4	2	+9	+1.2	22
5	Viking	12	6	4	2	+7	+4.6	22
6	Stromsgodset	12	5	3	4	-1	-4.1	18
7	Lillestrom	12	5	1	6	-5	-3.7	16
8	KFUM Oslo	12	3	6	3	-1	+4.7	15
9	Kristiansund	13	3	5	5	-3	-7.3	14
10	Rosenborg	12	4	2	6	-5	-3.3	14
11	Odd	13	3	5	5	-10	-8.5	14
12	Ham-Kam	13	3	4	6	+0	-1.7	13
13	Haugesund	11	4	1	6	-5	-4.2	13
14	Tromso	13	4	1	8	-6	-6.0	13
15	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	1	8	-12	-6.9	10
16	Sandefjord	13	2	3	8	-6	-0.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	8	5	1	2	+4	+9.9	16
2	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	3	0	+10	+4.6	15
3	Viking	7	4	2	1	+4	+2.3	14
4	Molde	7	3	2	2	+4	+8.9	11
5	Rosenborg	6	3	1	2	+0	+1.5	10
6	Kristiansund	6	2	3	1	+1	+3.3	9
7	Tromso	8	3	0	5	-1	-0.6	9
8	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
9	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.5	8
10	Sandefjord	6	2	0	4	-1	-0.2	6
11	Haugesund	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.9	6
12	Odd	7	1	3	3	-6	-1.8	6
13	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.0	4
14	KFUM Oslo	6	0	4	2	-5	+5.1	4
15	Lillestrom	6	1	1	4	-10	-3.6	4
16	Sarpsborg 08	6	1	0	5	-11	-1.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+12	+8.0	18
2	Fredrikstad	7	4	2	1	+7	-0.5	14
3	Molde	6	4	1	1	+7	+2.0	13
4	Lillestrom	6	4	0	2	+5	-0.1	12
5	Brann	7	3	3	1	+1	+2.4	12
6	KFUM Oslo	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.4	11
7	Stromsgodset	7	3	1	3	-3	-3.6	10
8	Ham-Kam	8	2	3	3	+2	+0.3	9
9	Viking	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.3	8
10	Odd	6	2	2	2	-4	-6.8	8
11	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	-1	-5.1	7
12	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.2	7
13	Kristiansund	7	1	2	4	-4	-10.6	5
14	Rosenborg	6	1	1	4	-5	-4.8	4
15	Tromso	5	1	1	3	-5	-5.3	4
16	Sandefjord	7	0	3	4	-5	-0.5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.