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Eliteserien

Referee: M Aslam

Lillestrom

T S T T S

2–1

Full-time

KFUM Oslo

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom KFUM Oslo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

4,0

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

64%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

9 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 12. · KFUM Oslo 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	3	1	+17	+10.8	27
2	Brann	13	8	3	2	+9	+11.0	27
3	Fredrikstad	12	6	4	2	+9	+1.2	22
4	Molde	12	6	3	3	+9	+10.0	21
5	Viking	11	5	4	2	+5	+4.6	19
6	Stromsgodset	11	5	2	4	-1	-2.8	17
7	KFUM Oslo	11	3	6	2	+0	+4.7	15
8	Rosenborg	11	4	2	5	-3	-3.3	14
9	Ham-Kam	13	3	4	6	+0	-1.7	13
10	Kristiansund	12	3	4	5	-3	-4.7	13
11	Haugesund	11	4	1	6	-5	-4.2	13
12	Lillestrom	11	4	1	6	-6	-3.7	13
13	Odd	12	3	4	5	-10	-11.1	13
14	Tromso	11	3	1	7	-5	-5.0	10
15	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	1	7	-11	-5.0	10
16	Sandefjord	12	2	3	7	-5	-0.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	7	5	0	2	+4	+8.6	15
2	Bodo/Glimt	6	3	3	0	+6	+4.6	12
3	Molde	7	3	2	2	+4	+8.9	11
4	Viking	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.3	11
5	Rosenborg	6	3	1	2	+0	+1.5	10
6	Tromso	7	3	0	4	+1	+0.3	9
7	Kristiansund	6	2	3	1	+1	+3.3	9
8	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
9	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.5	8
10	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	+0	-0.2	6
11	Haugesund	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.9	6
12	Odd	6	1	2	3	-6	-4.4	5
13	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.0	4
14	KFUM Oslo	6	0	4	2	-5	+5.1	4
15	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	0	4	-10	+0.1	3
16	Lillestrom	5	0	1	4	-11	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	6	5	0	1	+11	+6.2	15
2	Fredrikstad	7	4	2	1	+7	-0.5	14
3	Brann	6	3	3	0	+5	+2.4	12
4	Lillestrom	6	4	0	2	+5	-0.1	12
5	KFUM Oslo	5	3	2	0	+5	-0.4	11
6	Molde	5	3	1	1	+5	+1.1	10
7	Ham-Kam	8	2	3	3	+2	+0.3	9
8	Stromsgodset	6	3	0	3	-3	-2.3	9
9	Viking	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.3	8
10	Odd	6	2	2	2	-4	-6.8	8
11	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	-1	-5.1	7
12	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.2	7
13	Rosenborg	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.8	4
14	Kristiansund	6	1	1	4	-4	-8.0	4
15	Sandefjord	7	0	3	4	-5	-0.5	3
16	Tromso	4	0	1	3	-6	-5.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.