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Eliteserien
Referee: E Eskås
Brann
T S S S U
1–3
Full-time
Molde
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,7
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
40%
70%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 3. · Molde 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 10 7 2 1 +16 +7.4 23
2 Fredrikstad 10 6 3 1 +12 +1.8 21
3 Brann 10 6 3 1 +9 +7.9 21
4 Viking 10 5 3 2 +5 +5.2 18
5 Molde 10 5 2 3 +7 +9.4 17
6 Stromsgodset 10 5 1 4 -1 -2.2 16
7 KFUM Oslo 10 3 5 2 +0 +3.4 14
8 Rosenborg 10 4 1 5 -3 -3.0 13
9 Haugesund 10 4 1 5 -4 -1.8 13
10 Odd 11 3 3 5 -10 -11.7 12
11 Ham-Kam 11 2 4 5 +0 -0.9 10
12 Kristiansund 10 2 4 4 -4 -4.0 10
13 Lillestrom 10 3 1 6 -7 -3.3 10
14 Sarpsborg 08 10 3 1 6 -9 -3.4 10
15 Sandefjord 9 2 1 6 -4 +1.6 7
16 Tromso 9 2 1 6 -7 -6.4 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Molde
1–0 F. Knudsen
N. Castro
36′
Half-time 1–0
T. Pedersen 🔁
↦ J. Sery Larsen
46′
54′
🟨 Isak Helstad Amundsen
59′
🔁 V. Lund
↦ E. Haugan
59′
🔁 E. Hestad
↦ M. Kaasa
60′
K. Eriksen 1–1
Niklas Castro 🟨
68′
70′
M. Eikrem 1–2
H. Stenevik
72′
E. Hestad 1–3
E. Breivik
74′
🔁 A. Hagelskjær
↦ C. Øyvann
74′
🔁 M. Møller Dæhli
↦ M. Eikrem
J. Soltvedt 🔁
↦ R. Kristiansen
82′
A. Heggebø 🔁
↦ N. Castro
82′
82′
🔁 M. Linnes
↦ E. Breivik
S. Kartum 🔁
↦ O. Didrik Blomberg
86′
88′
🟨 Valdemar Lund
Sivert Heltne Nilsen 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
13 S. Crone D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
21 R. Kristiansen D
10 E. Kornvig M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
8 F. Myhre M
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
11 B. Finne F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (9)
23 T. Pedersen
17 J. Soltvedt
20 A. Heggebø
18 S. Kartum
36 E. Holmen Johansen
7 M. Warming
26 E. Helland
2 M. Hellan
41 L. Remmem

Coach: E. Horneland

Molde

3-5-2
22 A. Posiadała G
19 E. Haugan D
3 C. Øyvann D
26 I. Amundsen D
18 H. Stenevik M
16 E. Breivik M
20 K. Eriksen M
15 M. Kaasa M
31 M. Løvik M
7 M. Eikrem F
8 F. Gulbrandsen F
Bench (9)
4 V. Lund
5 E. Hestad
25 A. Hagelskjær
17 M. Møller Dæhli
21 M. Linnes
6 A. Roaldsøy
51 M. Eikrem Myklebust
11 A. Olanare
23 S. Granaas

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.