Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Eliteserien

Referee: O Nilsen

Lillestrom

S T S T S

0–3

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lillestrom Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,5

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 51%

38%

63%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,22 xG 1,62

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

4 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 7. · Fredrikstad 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	1	0	+17	+4.8	22
2	Brann	9	6	2	1	+9	+8.9	20
3	Molde	9	5	2	2	+9	+7.7	17
4	Fredrikstad	8	5	2	1	+9	+2.0	17
5	KFUM Oslo	8	3	3	2	+0	+3.5	12
6	Viking	8	3	3	2	-1	+4.8	12
7	Lillestrom	8	3	1	4	-3	-2.5	10
8	Rosenborg	8	3	1	4	-3	-6.8	10
9	Haugesund	8	3	1	4	-3	-1.4	10
10	Stromsgodset	8	3	1	4	-5	-2.0	10
11	Kristiansund	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.1	9
12	Odd	9	2	2	5	-11	-10.6	8
13	Ham-Kam	9	1	4	4	+2	+0.2	7
14	Sandefjord	7	2	1	4	+0	+1.0	7
15	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	1	5	-9	-1.3	7
16	Tromso	7	1	0	6	-8	-6.1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.2	12
2	Molde	5	3	1	1	+6	+6.6	10
3	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+6	+2.0	10
4	Viking	5	2	2	1	-1	+2.1	8
5	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.2	7
6	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.1	6
7	Rosenborg	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.2	6
8	Kristiansund	4	1	2	1	-1	+0.7	5
9	Stromsgodset	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.6	4
10	Tromso	4	1	0	3	-2	-0.2	3
11	Haugesund	4	1	0	3	-4	+2.3	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	0	3	-8	+0.5	3
13	KFUM Oslo	4	0	2	2	-5	+2.2	2
14	Odd	5	0	2	3	-7	-4.8	2
15	Ham-Kam	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.3	1
16	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	-3.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	4	4	0	0	+11	+2.8	12
2	Fredrikstad	4	3	1	0	+7	-0.2	10
3	KFUM Oslo	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.3	10
4	Lillestrom	4	3	0	1	+5	+0.7	9
5	Brann	4	2	2	0	+4	+2.6	8
6	Molde	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.1	7
7	Haugesund	4	2	1	1	+1	-3.8	7
8	Ham-Kam	6	1	3	2	+4	+0.4	6
9	Odd	4	2	0	2	-4	-5.9	6
10	Stromsgodset	5	2	0	3	-5	-2.6	6
11	Viking	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.7	4
12	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.8	4
13	Rosenborg	4	1	1	2	-2	-5.6	4
14	Kristiansund	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.8	4
15	Sandefjord	4	0	1	3	-4	+1.0	1
16	Tromso	3	0	0	3	-6	-5.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.