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Pro League

Referee: Nathan Verboomen

Genk

T S S U S

3–1

Full-time

Waregem

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 17/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

35%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

47%

68%

Both score Ø 66%

71%

60%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

8 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 9

3 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 12. · Waregem 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	17	14	2	1	+26	44
2	Antwerp	25	9	10	6	+5	37
3	Anderlecht	15	10	4	1	+13	34
4	Beveren	25	9	6	10	+3	33
5	Kortrijk	25	9	6	10	-2	33
6	St Truiden	25	8	9	8	-7	33
7	Charleroi	16	9	5	2	+14	32
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	25	8	5	12	-11	29
9	Gent	16	8	4	4	+13	28
10	Waregem	25	8	4	13	-6	28
11	Lokeren	25	7	6	12	-13	27
12	Genk	17	6	8	3	+4	26
13	Oostende	25	7	5	13	-3	26
14	Standard	17	6	6	5	+2	24
15	Eupen	25	4	9	12	-18	21
16	Mechelen	25	4	7	14	-20	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	St Truiden	13	7	3	3	+2	24
3	Beveren	12	6	2	4	+8	20
4	Kortrijk	12	5	5	2	+6	20
5	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	5	3	5	-5	18
6	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+8	17
7	Eupen	13	4	5	4	-2	17
8	Charleroi	8	4	4	0	+6	16
9	Gent	7	5	0	2	+9	15
10	Standard	8	4	3	1	+2	15
11	Antwerp	13	3	6	4	+1	15
12	Waregem	13	4	2	7	-8	14
13	Oostende	12	4	0	8	-4	12
14	Mechelen	12	3	3	6	-6	12
15	Lokeren	13	2	4	7	-12	10
16	Genk	8	1	6	1	+0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	12	6	4	2	+4	22
2	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+9	17
3	Anderlecht	7	5	2	0	+5	17
4	Genk	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Lokeren	12	5	2	5	-1	17
6	Charleroi	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Waregem	12	4	2	6	+2	14
8	Oostende	13	3	5	5	+1	14
9	Gent	9	3	4	2	+4	13
10	Beveren	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Kortrijk	13	4	1	8	-8	13
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	2	7	-6	11
13	Standard	9	2	3	4	+0	9
14	St Truiden	12	1	6	5	-9	9
15	Mechelen	13	1	4	8	-14	7
16	Eupen	12	0	4	8	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.