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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Willem II
T S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Zwolle
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
36%
64%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 25
9 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 9
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 13
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 10. · Zwolle 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 25 20 3 2 +47 63
2 Ajax 25 18 5 2 +36 59
3 PSV Eindhoven 26 17 7 2 +33 58
4 Vitesse 26 11 6 9 +9 39
5 Twente 25 10 8 7 +3 38
6 Utrecht 23 10 7 6 +5 37
7 Heerenveen 24 10 6 8 +11 36
8 AZ Alkmaar 23 8 11 4 +7 35
9 Heracles 26 8 7 11 -7 31
10 Willem II 25 7 8 10 -7 29
11 Nijmegen 26 7 7 12 -16 28
12 Zwolle 25 7 6 12 -20 27
13 Groningen 24 5 10 9 -4 25
14 Sparta Rotterdam 26 6 7 13 -15 25
15 Excelsior 26 5 8 13 -18 23
16 Den Haag 26 6 4 16 -23 22
17 Go Ahead Eagles 26 5 5 16 -20 20
18 Roda 25 3 11 11 -21 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Zwolle
1–0 E. Falkenburg
24′
40′
🔁 T. van de Pavert
↦ M. Saymak
40′
🔁 Y. Mokhtar
↦ K. Ehizibue
41′
🟨 Nicolai Brock-Madsen
Half-time 1–0
67′
🔁 A. Achahbar
↦ Q. Menig
T. Haye 🔁
↦ G. Joppen
68′
70′
🟨 Django Warmerdam
Fran Sol 🔁
↦ O. Oularé
73′
Dico Koppers 🟨
78′
E. Lieftink 🔁
↦ J. Croux
81′
2–0 T. Haye
A. Kali
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Willem II

4-2-3-1
1 K. Lamprou G
4 J. Peters D
24 G. Joppen D
26 K. Tshimanga D
29 D. Lachman D
5 D. Koppers D
10 E. Falkenburg F
6 F. Ojo M
20 A. Kali M
14 J. Croux F
58 O. Oularé F
Bench (10)
8 T. Haye
9 Fran Sol
25 E. Lieftink
7 J. Schuurman
16 V. Sakor
17 B. van den Boomen
23 N. Bertrams
30 A. Calcan
31 M. Branderhorst
45 T. Kok

Coach: E. van de Looi

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
21 D. Warmerdam D
23 D. Holla M
15 O. Bouy D
6 M. Saymak M
44 N. Brock-Madsen F
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (9)
3 T. van de Pavert
7 Y. Mokhtar
9 A. Achahbar
5 C. Verdonk
8 W. Marinus
13 P. Sandler
16 K. Begois
22 B. Schenkeveld
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.