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Pro League
Oostende
S T S U T
3–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 40%
56%
24%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
69%
65%
Both score Ø 70%
75%
65%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oostende 4. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 16 12 1 3 +26 37
2 Anderlecht 15 10 4 1 +13 34
3 Gent 15 10 3 2 +19 33
4 Oostende 16 9 4 3 +15 31
5 Genk 14 8 2 4 +5 26
6 Waregem 15 7 4 4 +6 25
7 Standard 18 8 1 9 -10 25
8 St Truiden 20 7 2 11 -7 23
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 6 5 13 -11 23
10 Charleroi 15 6 4 5 +3 22
11 Mechelen 19 6 4 9 -7 22
12 Westerlo 24 5 7 12 -20 22
13 Lokeren 18 5 4 9 -5 19
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 4 5 8 -6 17
15 Beveren 17 5 2 10 -11 17
16 Kortrijk 17 3 6 8 -10 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Royal Excel Mouscron
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Z. Cyriac
48′
2–0 K. Musona
Fernando Canesin
54′
58′
N. Dussenne 2–1
F. Marquet
63′
V. Viola 2–2
T. Mézague
J. Akpala 🔁
↦ Z. Cyriac
74′
74′
🔁 F. Marković
↦ F. Mulić
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ F. Berrier
81′
81′
🔁 A. Badri
↦ V. Viola
3–2 J. Lukaku
K. Musona
82′
88′
F. Marković 3–3
A. Badri
90′
🔁 M. Oussalah
↦ F. Marquet
Y. El Ghanassy 🔁
↦ K. Musona
91′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Oostende

1 D. Ovono
14 D. Rozehnal
27 B. Capon
44 A. Milić
5 J. Lukaku
7 S. Siani
10 F. Berrier
26 K. Vandendriessche
55 Fernando Canesin
9 Z. Cyriac
11 K. Musona
Bench (7)
17 J. Akpala
20 M. Jonckheere
8 Y. El Ghanassy
3 N. De Schutter
22 S. Locigno
25 W. Biebauw
30 S. Godwin

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
13 N. Aksentijević
29 T. Peyre
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
11 D. Mohamed
8 F. Marquet
16 V. Viola
45 F. Mulić
Bench (7)
18 F. Marković
9 A. Badri
25 M. Oussalah
12 T. Rausin
26 L. Vaccaro
27 Frederic Maciel
55 C. Manea

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.