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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Sp Braga

S S S U S

2–0

Full-time

Maritimo

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,8

Scored

3,5

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 57%

73%

40%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

70%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

21 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 4. · Maritimo 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	30	24	4	2	+57	76
2	Benfica	30	23	5	2	+57	74
3	Sp Lisbon	30	22	5	3	+38	71
4	Sp Braga	30	22	2	6	+43	68
5	Rio Ave	30	13	5	12	-3	44
6	Maritimo	30	12	8	10	-8	44
7	Boavista	30	11	5	14	-10	38
8	Chaves	30	10	8	12	-12	38
9	Guimaraes	30	11	4	15	-13	37
10	Portimonense	30	9	8	13	-7	35
11	Belenenses	30	8	9	13	-12	33
12	Tondela	30	8	8	14	-9	32
13	Vitoria Setubal	30	6	11	13	-17	29
14	Moreirense	30	7	8	15	-17	29
15	Aves	30	7	7	16	-15	28
16	Pacos Ferreira	30	7	7	16	-23	28
17	Estoril	30	7	5	18	-31	26
18	Feirense	30	7	3	20	-18	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	15	14	1	0	+37	43
2	Sp Lisbon	15	13	2	0	+27	41
3	Benfica	15	13	1	1	+38	40
4	Sp Braga	15	13	0	2	+25	39
5	Maritimo	15	9	4	2	+9	31
6	Rio Ave	15	9	3	3	+12	30
7	Boavista	15	9	2	4	+5	29
8	Guimaraes	15	8	3	4	-2	27
9	Belenenses	15	6	5	4	+3	23
10	Portimonense	15	7	2	6	+2	23
11	Pacos Ferreira	15	6	4	5	-3	22
12	Vitoria Setubal	15	5	6	4	+1	21
13	Chaves	15	4	6	5	-3	18
14	Moreirense	15	4	6	5	-3	18
15	Feirense	15	5	2	8	-5	17
16	Tondela	15	4	3	8	-5	15
17	Aves	15	4	3	8	-7	15
18	Estoril	15	4	3	8	-12	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	Porto	15	10	3	2	+20	33
3	Sp Lisbon	15	9	3	3	+11	30
4	Sp Braga	15	9	2	4	+18	29
5	Chaves	15	6	2	7	-9	20
6	Tondela	15	4	5	6	-4	17
7	Rio Ave	15	4	2	9	-15	14
8	Aves	15	3	4	8	-8	13
9	Maritimo	15	3	4	8	-17	13
10	Portimonense	15	2	6	7	-9	12
11	Moreirense	15	3	2	10	-14	11
12	Estoril	15	3	2	10	-19	11
13	Guimaraes	15	3	1	11	-11	10
14	Belenenses	15	2	4	9	-15	10
15	Boavista	15	2	3	10	-15	9
16	Vitoria Setubal	15	1	5	9	-18	8
17	Feirense	15	2	1	12	-13	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	15	1	3	11	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.