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Primeira Liga

Referee: Jorge de Sousa

Vitoria Setubal

S S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Sp Braga

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 43%

36%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

36%

41%

Both score Ø 46%

41%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitoria Setubal 9. · Sp Braga 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	23	18	3	2	+38	57
2	Porto	22	16	5	1	+34	53
3	Sp Lisbon	23	14	5	4	+18	47
4	Guimaraes	23	11	6	6	+6	39
5	Sp Braga	22	11	5	6	+13	38
6	Maritimo	23	9	7	7	+2	34
7	Chaves	23	7	11	5	+2	32
8	Boavista	22	7	8	7	+0	29
9	Vitoria Setubal	22	8	5	9	+0	29
10	Rio Ave	23	8	5	10	-4	29
11	Arouca	22	8	3	11	-9	27
12	Belenenses	22	6	8	8	-5	26
13	Feirense	23	7	5	11	-17	26
14	Pacos Ferreira	23	6	6	11	-11	24
15	Estoril	23	5	5	13	-12	20
16	Moreirense	23	5	4	14	-15	19
17	Nacional	23	3	7	13	-17	16
18	Tondela	23	3	6	14	-23	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	11	1	0	+22	34
2	Benfica	12	10	2	0	+27	32
3	Sp Lisbon	11	9	1	1	+16	28
4	Sp Braga	12	8	2	2	+14	26
5	Maritimo	11	6	3	2	+6	21
6	Chaves	12	5	6	1	+6	21
7	Vitoria Setubal	11	6	2	3	+6	20
8	Pacos Ferreira	11	5	4	2	+3	19
9	Rio Ave	12	5	3	4	+0	18
10	Guimaraes	11	4	4	3	+1	16
11	Arouca	11	5	1	5	+0	16
12	Belenenses	11	3	5	3	-1	14
13	Feirense	12	4	2	6	-9	14
14	Boavista	10	3	3	4	+1	12
15	Tondela	11	3	3	5	-2	12
16	Nacional	12	2	5	5	-7	11
17	Moreirense	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Estoril	11	3	1	7	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Guimaraes	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	Porto	10	5	4	1	+12	19
4	Sp Lisbon	12	5	4	3	+2	19
5	Boavista	12	4	5	3	-1	17
6	Maritimo	12	3	4	5	-4	13
7	Sp Braga	10	3	3	4	-1	12
8	Belenenses	11	3	3	5	-4	12
9	Feirense	11	3	3	5	-8	12
10	Rio Ave	11	3	2	6	-4	11
11	Chaves	11	2	5	4	-4	11
12	Arouca	11	3	2	6	-9	11
13	Estoril	12	2	4	6	-6	10
14	Vitoria Setubal	11	2	3	6	-6	9
15	Moreirense	12	3	0	9	-11	9
16	Nacional	11	1	2	8	-10	5
17	Pacos Ferreira	12	1	2	9	-14	5
18	Tondela	12	0	3	9	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.