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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Rio Ave
S S S S T
2–2
Full-time
Chaves
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Chaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
47%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
53%
27%
Both score Ø 57%
60%
53%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rio Ave 6. · Chaves 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 16 13 2 1 +26 41
2 Porto 16 10 5 1 +21 35
3 Sp Braga 16 10 3 3 +14 33
4 Sp Lisbon 15 9 3 3 +12 30
5 Guimaraes 16 9 3 4 +8 30
6 Rio Ave 15 7 2 6 +0 23
7 Maritimo 16 7 2 7 -1 23
8 Chaves 15 5 7 3 +2 22
9 Vitoria Setubal 15 5 4 6 +0 19
10 Boavista 15 4 5 6 -2 17
11 Belenenses 15 4 5 6 -5 17
12 Arouca 15 5 2 8 -6 17
13 Pacos Ferreira 16 4 5 7 -7 17
14 Estoril 16 4 3 9 -8 15
15 Feirense 15 4 2 9 -18 14
16 Nacional 16 3 3 10 -11 12
17 Moreirense 15 3 2 10 -12 11
18 Tondela 15 2 4 9 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rio Ave Chaves
18′
🔁 Rafael Lopes
↦ Fábio Santos
1–0 Tarantini
Rúben Ribeiro
18′
Eliseu Cassamá 🔁
↦ Lionn
25′
Half-time 1–1
54′
Fábio Martins 1–1
Filipe Augusto 🔁
↦ A. Wakaso
62′
Tarantini 🟨
75′
Marcelo 🟨
75′
75′
Rafael Lopes 1–2
Bruno Braga
Ronan 🔁
↦ Gil Dias
79′
2–2 Guedes
Roderick
80′
83′
🟨 Perdigão
85′
🔁 Davidson
↦ Willian
Hélder Guedes 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 S. Vukčević
↦ Perdigão
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 Cássio
12 Lionn D
46 Marcelo D
25 Roderick D
55 Rafa D
70 Rúben Ribeiro M
8 Tarantini M
30 A. Wakaso M
7 Guedes F
24 Héldon M
31 Gil Dias M
Bench (7)
2 Eliseu Cassamá
5 Filipe Augusto
19 Ronan
10 F. Krovinović
88 Yazalde
14 Vilas Boas
71 Rui Vieira

Coach: Luís Castro

Chaves

4-2-3-1
13 Ricardo Nunes G
21 Nelson Lenho D
24 Pedro Queirós D
44 Leandro Freire D
4 Fábio Santos D
25 Bruno Braga M
6 Rafael Assis M
26 Ponck D
99 Willian F
10 Perdigão F
47 Fábio Martins M
Bench (7)
9 Rafael Lopes
91 Davidson
3 S. Vukčević
18 A. Fall
1 António Filipe
5 N. Petrović
29 Rafael Batatinha

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.